Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Jiangsu Cnano Technology Co., Ltd. (688116.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$125.99 - $148.44$139.11
Multi-Stage$94.07 - $103.24$98.57
Blended Fair Value$118.84
Current Price$68.86
Upside72.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS92.08%0.00%0.350.060.050.050.090.010.010.000.000.00
YoY Growth--466.38%37.07%-1.27%-51.05%596.83%125.90%27.36%1,259.35%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.82%0.27%0.10%0.05%0.27%0.06%0.02%0.01%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)263.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)73.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)190.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52.7432.9619.78
Cash Retained (M)190.65190.65190.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-52.74-32.96-19.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)137.92157.69170.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)353.27353.27353.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.450.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.450.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.600.650.69
WACC / Discount Rate0.38%0.38%0.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$125.99$139.11$148.44
Upside / Downside82.97%102.02%115.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)263.68280.82299.07318.51339.22361.27372.10
Payout Ratio27.70%40.16%52.62%65.08%77.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)73.03112.77157.36207.28263.03325.14344.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.38%0.38%0.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)111.28112.34113.39
Year 2 PV (M)153.25156.17159.12
Year 3 PV (M)199.21204.93210.76
Year 4 PV (M)249.46259.05268.92
Year 5 PV (M)304.31319.01334.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)32,214.7933,770.7735,386.31
Equity Value (M)33,232.3034,822.2736,472.77
Shares Outstanding (M)353.27353.27353.27
Fair Value$94.07$98.57$103.24
Upside / Downside36.61%43.15%49.93%

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