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Definitive Analysis

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Advanced Energy Solution Holding Co., Ltd. (6781.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$717.86 - $1,669.45$1,052.42
Multi-Stage$3,000.62 - $3,315.41$3,154.86
Blended Fair Value$2,103.64
Current Price$1,160.00
Upside81.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%11.5918.9914.995.301.700.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---38.95%26.66%183.05%211.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.39%2.76%2.09%0.42%0.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,177.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,067.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,109.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)635.49397.18238.31
Cash Retained (M)2,109.722,109.722,109.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-635.49-397.18-238.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,474.231,712.541,871.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)85.4885.4885.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.2520.0321.89
LTM Dividend per Share12.4912.4912.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.2520.0321.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend29.7432.5234.38
WACC / Discount Rate2.06%2.06%2.06%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$717.86$1,052.42$1,669.45
Upside / Downside-38.12%-9.27%43.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,177.463,145.683,114.233,083.083,052.253,021.733,112.38
Payout Ratio33.60%44.88%56.16%67.44%78.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,067.731,411.871,749.012,079.272,402.752,719.562,878.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.06%2.06%2.06%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,369.401,383.381,397.35
Year 2 PV (M)1,645.391,679.141,713.23
Year 3 PV (M)1,897.251,955.922,015.79
Year 4 PV (M)2,126.472,214.602,305.44
Year 5 PV (M)2,334.452,456.012,582.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)247,127.41259,995.91273,394.98
Equity Value (M)256,500.36269,684.95283,409.38
Shares Outstanding (M)85.4885.4885.48
Fair Value$3,000.62$3,154.86$3,315.41
Upside / Downside158.67%171.97%185.81%

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