Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Apaq Technology Co., Ltd. (6449.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$415.10 - $1,149.39$1,077.14
Multi-Stage$161.22 - $176.41$168.68
Blended Fair Value$622.91
Current Price$112.00
Upside456.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.45%14.33%2.292.292.011.910.960.941.771.441.281.33
YoY Growth--0.00%13.71%5.26%99.96%1.61%-46.75%22.76%12.50%-3.42%120.82%
Dividend Yield--2.03%2.74%3.61%3.43%1.42%4.02%5.57%2.57%3.68%4.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)510.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)202.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)308.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)102.1463.8438.30
Cash Retained (M)308.43308.43308.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-102.14-63.84-38.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)206.28244.59270.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)88.3788.3788.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.332.773.06
LTM Dividend per Share2.292.292.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.332.773.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.625.065.35
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$415.10$1,077.14$1,149.39
Upside / Downside270.63%861.74%926.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)510.72543.92579.27616.92657.02699.73720.72
Payout Ratio39.61%49.69%59.77%69.84%79.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)202.29270.26346.21430.88525.11629.76666.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)250.97253.35255.73
Year 2 PV (M)298.55304.23309.97
Year 3 PV (M)345.05354.95365.05
Year 4 PV (M)390.49405.50420.95
Year 5 PV (M)434.88455.89477.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,526.8113,131.8613,760.07
Equity Value (M)14,246.7414,905.7915,589.46
Shares Outstanding (M)88.3788.3788.37
Fair Value$161.22$168.68$176.41
Upside / Downside43.95%50.61%57.51%

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