Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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EZconn Corporation (6442.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,250.81 - $3,830.00$3,589.27
Multi-Stage$2,489.12 - $2,731.45$2,608.03
Blended Fair Value$3,098.65
Current Price$793.00
Upside290.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.91%11.39%2.071.811.040.861.171.291.722.842.581.56
YoY Growth--14.03%75.00%20.00%-26.47%-8.92%-25.00%-39.39%10.00%65.00%122.22%
Dividend Yield--0.50%1.31%1.95%2.42%3.75%4.11%4.28%7.89%5.66%2.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,479.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)653.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)825.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)295.87184.92110.95
Cash Retained (M)825.75825.75825.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-295.87-184.92-110.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)529.88640.83714.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)76.8276.8276.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.908.349.31
LTM Dividend per Share8.518.518.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.908.349.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.4116.8517.81
WACC / Discount Rate-0.07%-0.07%-0.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,250.81$3,589.27$3,830.00
Upside / Downside309.94%352.62%382.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,479.351,575.511,677.921,786.981,903.142,026.842,087.65
Payout Ratio44.18%53.35%62.51%71.67%80.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)653.60840.461,048.851,280.781,538.431,824.161,931.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.07%-0.07%-0.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)833.16841.05848.95
Year 2 PV (M)1,030.701,050.331,070.15
Year 3 PV (M)1,247.681,283.501,319.99
Year 4 PV (M)1,485.651,542.781,601.55
Year 5 PV (M)1,746.271,830.611,918.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)184,861.70193,790.59203,061.21
Equity Value (M)191,205.15200,338.86209,820.03
Shares Outstanding (M)76.8276.8276.82
Fair Value$2,489.12$2,608.03$2,731.45
Upside / Downside213.89%228.88%244.45%

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