Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhejiang Xidamen New Material Co.,Ltd. (605155.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - TextilesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$109.72 - $129.26$121.14
Multi-Stage$22.76 - $24.92$23.82
Blended Fair Value$72.48
Current Price$16.66
Upside335.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.72%0.00%0.140.140.140.130.090.080.070.070.050.00
YoY Growth--1.87%0.00%12.00%33.33%25.00%14.96%-1.39%29.63%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.19%1.44%1.37%1.21%0.73%0.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)123.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)76.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.6515.419.24
Cash Retained (M)76.1476.1476.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.65-15.41-9.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)51.4960.7466.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)189.65189.65189.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.320.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.320.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.60
WACC / Discount Rate5.95%5.95%5.95%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$109.72$121.14$129.26
Upside / Downside558.56%627.13%675.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)123.27131.28139.81148.90158.58168.88173.95
Payout Ratio38.23%48.58%58.94%69.29%79.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.1263.7882.40103.17126.30152.00160.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.95%5.95%5.95%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)59.6360.1960.76
Year 2 PV (M)72.0373.4074.79
Year 3 PV (M)84.3286.7589.21
Year 4 PV (M)96.51100.22104.04
Year 5 PV (M)108.60113.84119.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,894.934,083.064,278.38
Equity Value (M)4,316.024,517.464,726.47
Shares Outstanding (M)189.65189.65189.65
Fair Value$22.76$23.82$24.92
Upside / Downside36.60%42.98%49.60%

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