Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Xiamen Leading Optics Co., Ltd. (605118.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$63.01 - $125.02$117.08
Multi-Stage$64.08 - $70.80$67.37
Blended Fair Value$92.22
Current Price$29.05
Upside217.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS157.92%0.00%0.340.120.120.150.000.000.000.110.070.00
YoY Growth--183.21%0.48%-19.57%6,644.10%-26.06%17.08%-97.59%52.04%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.64%0.61%0.81%1.13%0.01%0.02%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)275.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)127.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)147.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)55.1134.4520.67
Cash Retained (M)147.99147.99147.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-55.11-34.45-20.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)92.88113.55127.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)407.77407.77407.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.230.280.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.230.280.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.590.63
WACC / Discount Rate-1.16%-1.16%-1.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$63.01$117.08$125.02
Upside / Downside116.91%303.03%330.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)275.57272.81270.08267.38264.71262.06269.92
Payout Ratio46.29%55.04%63.78%72.52%81.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)127.57150.14172.25193.90215.10235.85249.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.16%-1.16%-1.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)150.37151.90153.44
Year 2 PV (M)172.77176.31179.89
Year 3 PV (M)194.78200.80206.95
Year 4 PV (M)216.40225.37234.61
Year 5 PV (M)237.64250.01262.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,156.7126,466.6827,830.66
Equity Value (M)26,128.6727,471.0828,868.45
Shares Outstanding (M)407.77407.77407.77
Fair Value$64.08$67.37$70.80
Upside / Downside120.57%131.91%143.70%

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