Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CWB Automotive Electronics Co., Ltd. (605005.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$93.51 - $110.17$103.25
Multi-Stage$64.00 - $70.23$67.06
Blended Fair Value$85.15
Current Price$18.64
Upside356.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS57.78%0.00%0.210.150.150.150.060.020.410.350.000.00
YoY Growth--38.93%-1.07%0.54%141.55%192.94%-94.79%17.48%10,266.17%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.14%0.87%0.94%0.85%0.36%0.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)221.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)82.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)139.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.3827.7416.64
Cash Retained (M)139.13139.13139.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.38-27.74-16.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)94.75111.39122.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)400.60400.60400.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.280.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.280.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.51
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$93.51$103.25$110.17
Upside / Downside401.66%453.89%491.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)221.92236.34251.70268.07285.49304.05313.17
Payout Ratio37.31%47.84%58.38%68.92%79.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)82.79113.08146.95184.76226.85273.64289.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)109.61110.65111.68
Year 2 PV (M)138.07140.70143.36
Year 3 PV (M)168.27173.10178.02
Year 4 PV (M)200.27207.97215.89
Year 5 PV (M)234.16245.47257.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,788.4925,985.7827,228.90
Equity Value (M)25,638.8726,863.6728,135.07
Shares Outstanding (M)400.60400.60400.60
Fair Value$64.00$67.06$70.23
Upside / Downside243.36%259.76%276.78%

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