Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhejiang Langdi Group Co., Ltd. (603726.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$78.83 - $229.97$215.52
Multi-Stage$31.65 - $34.63$33.11
Blended Fair Value$124.32
Current Price$27.18
Upside357.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.55%20.48%0.450.420.470.470.410.440.280.230.000.05
YoY Growth--8.18%-11.21%0.01%14.11%-6.23%54.29%24.51%0.00%-100.00%-28.88%
Dividend Yield--2.86%3.29%3.59%3.51%3.40%2.15%1.94%1.51%0.00%0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)215.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)81.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)133.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)43.0126.8816.13
Cash Retained (M)133.86133.86133.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-43.01-26.88-16.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)90.84106.97117.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)185.98185.98185.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.490.580.63
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.490.580.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.931.011.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$78.83$215.52$229.97
Upside / Downside190.03%692.93%746.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)215.07229.04243.93259.79276.67294.66303.50
Payout Ratio37.76%48.21%58.66%69.10%79.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)81.21110.42143.08179.52220.10265.19280.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)102.48103.45104.42
Year 2 PV (M)123.24125.59127.96
Year 3 PV (M)143.51147.63151.82
Year 4 PV (M)163.29169.57176.03
Year 5 PV (M)182.59191.41200.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,170.935,420.695,680.01
Equity Value (M)5,886.036,158.336,440.80
Shares Outstanding (M)185.98185.98185.98
Fair Value$31.65$33.11$34.63
Upside / Downside16.44%21.83%27.41%

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