Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Ticker

Industry

Sector

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. (600999.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.53 - $68.92$42.35
Multi-Stage$31.57 - $34.62$33.07
Blended Fair Value$37.71
Current Price$17.11
Upside120.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.97%17.18%0.990.911.251.060.860.780.830.570.740.64
YoY Growth--8.95%-26.84%18.09%22.64%10.39%-5.70%44.17%-22.15%14.61%215.70%
Dividend Yield--5.60%6.46%9.05%7.30%4.39%5.50%5.57%3.99%5.46%4.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,107.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,716.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,391.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,421.561,513.47908.08
Cash Retained (M)8,391.638,391.638,391.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,421.56-1,513.47-908.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,970.076,878.167,483.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8,953.658,953.658,953.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.670.770.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.670.770.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.081.181.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate2.97%3.97%4.97%
Fair Value$28.53$42.35$68.92
Upside / Downside66.72%147.49%302.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,107.7912,588.2613,087.7813,607.1414,147.1014,708.4815,149.74
Payout Ratio30.69%42.55%54.42%66.28%78.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,716.165,356.797,121.779,018.3911,054.3213,237.6414,013.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate2.97%3.97%4.97%
Year 1 PV (M)4,964.075,012.285,060.49
Year 2 PV (M)6,115.826,235.196,355.71
Year 3 PV (M)7,176.777,387.917,603.14
Year 4 PV (M)8,152.038,473.358,804.08
Year 5 PV (M)9,046.439,494.339,959.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)247,247.82259,489.32272,210.96
Equity Value (M)282,702.94296,092.37309,994.18
Shares Outstanding (M)8,953.658,953.658,953.65
Fair Value$31.57$33.07$34.62
Upside / Downside84.54%93.28%102.35%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 15 of 30 Next »
Ticker ⇵ Company ⇵ Dividend Yield % ▼ Dividend Per Share ⇵ Payout Ratio % ⇵
0R28.LNewmont Corporation2.49%$1.0115.53%
ETREntergy Corporation2.49%$2.3457.35%
NKENIKE, Inc.2.49%$1.5880.59%
OTTROtter Tail Corporation2.49%$2.0330.69%
FHNFirst Horizon Corporation2.48%$0.6034.42%
PWPPerella Weinberg Partners2.48%$0.4469.65%
SCSSteelcase Inc.2.48%$0.4050.05%
PBIPitney Bowes Inc.2.46%$0.2561.37%
RBCAARepublic Bancorp, Inc.2.45%$1.6725.85%
SRCE1st Source Corporation2.45%$1.5325.20%
TRMKTrustmark Corporation2.45%$0.9626.11%
VOYAVoya Financial, Inc.2.45%$1.8629.46%
AWKAmerican Water Works Company, Inc.2.44%$3.1855.85%
LSTRLandstar System, Inc.2.44%$3.5890.21%
NGLNGL Energy Partners LP2.44%$0.2424.52%
TCFCThe Community Financial Corporation2.44%$0.6612.72%
CADECadence Bank2.43%$1.0537.49%
JNJJohnson & Johnson2.43%$5.0448.70%
MBCNMiddlefield Banc Corp.2.43%$0.8342.36%
0L7G.LSnap-on Incorporated2.42%$8.4344.15%
ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc.2.42%$6.0458.20%
MOFGMidWestOne Financial Group, Inc.2.40%$0.9232.44%
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc.2.39%$0.7242.45%
ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.2.38%$6.0359.30%
CALCaleres, Inc.2.38%$0.2946.21%
ABMABM Industries Incorporated2.37%$1.0154.79%
FUNCFirst United Corporation2.36%$0.8822.87%
HONHoneywell International Inc.2.36%$4.6348.21%
RILYKB. Riley Financial, Inc. 5.50% Senior Notes Due 20262.36%$0.5856.91%
CDWCDW Corporation2.35%$3.1439.31%
CHMGChemung Financial Corporation2.35%$1.2846.47%
LZBLa-Z-Boy Incorporated2.35%$0.8840.20%
PKGPackaging Corporation of America2.35%$4.9750.31%
UNPUnion Pacific Corporation2.35%$5.4445.77%
0K91.LNorthern Trust Corporation2.34%$3.2035.68%
MCDMcDonald's Corporation2.33%$7.0760.14%
MGEEMGE Energy, Inc.2.32%$1.8249.49%
MZTIThe Marzetti Company2.32%$3.8261.80%
UNMUnum Group2.32%$1.7933.52%
RILYMB. Riley Financial, Inc. - 6.372.31%$0.5856.91%
RILYOB. Riley Financial, Inc. - 6.752.31%$0.5856.91%
HONIVHoneywell International Inc. Common Stock Ex Distribution When Issued2.30%$4.6348.21%
PGRThe Progressive Corporation2.30%$4.8826.80%
WNEBWestern New England Bancorp, Inc.2.30%$0.2843.00%
0R23.LHalliburton Company2.29%$0.6844.61%
ADSBread Financial Holdings, Inc.2.29%$1.3021.08%
HLNEHamilton Lane Incorporated2.29%$3.1374.09%
BSVNBank7 Corp.2.28%$0.9420.81%
MCBCMacatawa Bank Corporation2.28%$0.3428.37%
BRKLBrookline Bancorp, Inc.2.27%$0.5461.06%