Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Yunnan Bowin Technology Industry Co.,Ltd (600883.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.87 - $6.11$4.08
Multi-Stage$2.11 - $2.30$2.20
Blended Fair Value$3.14
Current Price$8.01
Upside-60.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.49%13.69%0.040.090.040.020.010.010.040.080.070.01
YoY Growth---49.53%129.02%108.55%199.10%-53.28%-64.39%-55.16%11.52%501.47%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.64%1.22%0.50%0.21%0.07%0.17%0.45%0.86%0.51%0.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)27.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.204.502.70
Cash Retained (M)27.3027.3027.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.20-4.50-2.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.1022.8024.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)236.26236.26236.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.100.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.100.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.14
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2.87$4.08$6.11
Upside / Downside-64.18%-49.08%-23.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35.9838.3240.8143.4646.2849.2950.77
Payout Ratio24.13%37.31%50.48%63.65%76.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.6814.2920.6027.6635.5644.3646.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)12.8813.0013.12
Year 2 PV (M)16.7117.0317.35
Year 3 PV (M)20.2220.8021.39
Year 4 PV (M)23.4124.3125.23
Year 5 PV (M)26.3027.5728.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)398.96418.23438.23
Equity Value (M)498.47520.93544.22
Shares Outstanding (M)236.26236.26236.26
Fair Value$2.11$2.20$2.30
Upside / Downside-73.66%-72.47%-71.24%

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