Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Offshore Oil Engineering Co.,Ltd (600583.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.81 - $90.50$55.70
Multi-Stage$10.91 - $11.93$11.41
Blended Fair Value$33.56
Current Price$5.30
Upside533.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.08%3.93%0.150.100.080.070.060.050.050.100.250.23
YoY Growth--47.05%25.00%14.29%16.67%20.00%0.00%-50.00%-60.00%8.70%130.00%
Dividend Yield--2.57%1.50%1.30%1.63%1.32%1.02%0.74%1.61%3.26%3.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,021.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)888.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,132.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)404.35252.72151.63
Cash Retained (M)1,132.871,132.871,132.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-404.35-252.72-151.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)728.52880.15981.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,442.724,442.724,442.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.200.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.200.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.400.42
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$21.81$55.70$90.50
Upside / Downside311.44%951.01%1,607.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,021.732,153.142,293.092,442.142,600.882,769.942,853.04
Payout Ratio43.97%53.17%62.38%71.59%80.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)888.861,144.871,430.411,748.242,101.332,492.952,639.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,057.351,067.371,077.39
Year 2 PV (M)1,220.061,243.301,266.76
Year 3 PV (M)1,377.141,416.681,456.96
Year 4 PV (M)1,528.741,587.531,648.00
Year 5 PV (M)1,674.991,755.891,839.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,610.9243,620.7445,707.48
Equity Value (M)48,469.2050,691.5152,996.48
Shares Outstanding (M)4,442.724,442.724,442.72
Fair Value$10.91$11.41$11.93
Upside / Downside105.85%115.28%125.07%

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