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Definitive Analysis

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Farglory F T Z Investment Holding Co.,Ltd. (5607.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$228.53 - $511.03$478.91
Multi-Stage$76.70 - $83.94$80.25
Blended Fair Value$279.58
Current Price$51.70
Upside440.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS34.81%0.00%0.810.881.100.740.620.180.090.000.000.00
YoY Growth---7.92%-19.41%47.83%20.00%238.24%100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.16%1.72%2.04%1.60%2.59%1.16%0.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)957.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)399.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)557.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)191.41119.6371.78
Cash Retained (M)557.43557.43557.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-191.41-119.63-71.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)366.02437.80485.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)372.45372.45372.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.981.181.30
LTM Dividend per Share1.071.071.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.981.181.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.062.252.38
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$228.53$478.91$511.03
Upside / Downside342.03%826.33%888.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)957.041,019.251,085.501,156.061,231.201,311.231,350.57
Payout Ratio41.76%51.40%61.05%70.70%80.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)399.62523.94662.73817.36989.291,180.111,249.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)487.57492.20496.82
Year 2 PV (M)573.93584.87595.90
Year 3 PV (M)658.71677.62696.89
Year 4 PV (M)741.94770.47799.82
Year 5 PV (M)823.62863.41904.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,279.7626,500.7927,768.54
Equity Value (M)28,565.5529,889.3531,262.68
Shares Outstanding (M)372.45372.45372.45
Fair Value$76.70$80.25$83.94
Upside / Downside48.35%55.22%62.36%

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