Definitive Analysis
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Generalplus Technology Inc. (4952.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.87 - $15.69$13.22
Multi-Stage$23.87 - $26.21$25.02
Blended Fair Value$19.12
Current Price$40.35
Upside-52.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.26%-6.33%1.304.985.382.391.792.492.993.493.192.79
YoY Growth---74.00%-7.41%125.00%33.33%-28.00%-16.67%-14.29%9.37%14.29%12.00%
Dividend Yield--2.84%10.32%9.34%3.02%3.11%9.48%8.33%7.09%7.76%6.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)168.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)141.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)27.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.7421.0912.65
Cash Retained (M)27.2527.2527.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.74-21.09-12.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-6.496.1614.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)109.17109.17109.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.060.060.13
LTM Dividend per Share1.301.301.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.060.060.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.241.351.43
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-3.44%-2.44%-1.44%
Fair Value$10.87$13.22$15.69
Upside / Downside-73.06%-67.25%-61.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)168.71164.59160.57156.64152.82149.08153.55
Payout Ratio83.85%85.08%86.31%87.54%88.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)141.46140.03138.58137.12135.65134.17142.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-3.44%-2.44%-1.44%
Year 1 PV (M)128.88130.21131.55
Year 2 PV (M)117.39119.84122.30
Year 3 PV (M)106.91110.26113.69
Year 4 PV (M)97.34101.43105.66
Year 5 PV (M)88.6193.2998.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,067.062,176.342,290.19
Equity Value (M)2,606.182,731.382,861.56
Shares Outstanding (M)109.17109.17109.17
Fair Value$23.87$25.02$26.21
Upside / Downside-40.84%-37.99%-35.04%

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