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Definitive Analysis

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JMDC Inc. (4483.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Healthcare Information ServicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$883.33 - $1,301.76$1,084.08
Multi-Stage$1,556.23 - $1,712.92$1,633.04
Blended Fair Value$1,358.56
Current Price$4,480.00
Upside-69.67%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%13.8411.428.540.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--21.22%33.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.35%0.36%0.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,461.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,045.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,416.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,492.20932.63559.58
Cash Retained (M)6,416.006,416.006,416.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,492.20-932.63-559.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,923.805,483.385,856.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)66.0266.0266.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share74.5883.0588.70
LTM Dividend per Share15.8315.8315.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share74.5883.0588.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend90.4198.88104.53
WACC / Discount Rate8.03%8.03%8.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$883.33$1,084.08$1,301.76
Upside / Downside-80.28%-75.80%-70.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,461.007,386.397,312.537,239.407,167.017,095.347,308.20
Payout Ratio14.01%29.20%44.40%59.60%74.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,045.002,157.193,247.034,314.865,361.016,385.806,760.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.03%8.03%8.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,976.671,996.842,017.01
Year 2 PV (M)2,726.332,782.262,838.75
Year 3 PV (M)3,319.753,422.423,527.18
Year 4 PV (M)3,779.473,936.114,097.58
Year 5 PV (M)4,125.214,340.024,563.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)86,817.5691,338.3596,045.54
Equity Value (M)102,745.00107,816.00113,089.73
Shares Outstanding (M)66.0266.0266.02
Fair Value$1,556.23$1,633.04$1,712.92
Upside / Downside-65.26%-63.55%-61.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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