Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Phil Company,Inc. (3267.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,255.11 - $11,329.95$4,698.40
Multi-Stage$5,412.49 - $5,981.98$5,691.51
Blended Fair Value$5,194.96
Current Price$984.00
Upside427.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%5.020.0010.480.015.260.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--117,030.43%-99.96%102,234.55%-99.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.63%0.00%0.93%0.00%0.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)328.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)275.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65.7741.1124.66
Cash Retained (M)275.01275.01275.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-65.77-41.11-24.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)209.23233.90250.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.375.375.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share38.9643.5646.62
LTM Dividend per Share10.0310.0310.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share38.9643.5646.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend48.9953.5956.65
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,255.11$4,698.40$11,329.95
Upside / Downside129.18%377.48%1,051.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)328.86325.57322.32319.09315.90312.74322.13
Payout Ratio16.38%31.10%45.83%60.55%75.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53.86101.26147.70193.21237.80281.47297.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)100.11101.13102.15
Year 2 PV (M)144.36147.32150.32
Year 3 PV (M)186.69192.47198.36
Year 4 PV (M)227.16236.57246.28
Year 5 PV (M)265.82279.66294.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,139.7729,605.0731,130.79
Equity Value (M)29,063.9030,562.2232,121.96
Shares Outstanding (M)5.375.375.37
Fair Value$5,412.49$5,691.51$5,981.98
Upside / Downside450.05%478.41%507.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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