Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Sinomag Technology Co., Ltd. (300835.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.06 - $246.29$102.08
Multi-Stage$26.83 - $29.35$28.07
Blended Fair Value$65.07
Current Price$64.90
Upside0.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS43.64%8.29%0.360.310.200.160.350.060.060.070.150.13
YoY Growth--15.87%53.47%24.03%-53.00%489.91%1.30%-11.09%-57.02%15.26%-18.72%
Dividend Yield--0.95%1.26%0.57%0.43%1.13%0.35%0.34%0.38%0.89%0.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)104.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9918.1210.87
Cash Retained (M)104.40104.40104.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.99-18.12-10.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)75.4186.2893.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)117.05117.05117.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.640.740.80
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.640.740.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.991.081.15
WACC / Discount Rate7.63%7.63%7.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$49.06$102.08$246.29
Upside / Downside-24.41%57.29%279.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.96154.38164.41175.10186.48198.60204.56
Payout Ratio27.98%40.38%52.79%65.19%77.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.5662.3486.79114.15144.70178.74189.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.63%7.63%7.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)57.3857.9258.47
Year 2 PV (M)73.5274.9276.33
Year 3 PV (M)89.0091.5594.16
Year 4 PV (M)103.83107.83111.94
Year 5 PV (M)118.05123.75129.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,698.812,829.172,964.51
Equity Value (M)3,140.603,285.143,435.07
Shares Outstanding (M)117.05117.05117.05
Fair Value$26.83$28.07$29.35
Upside / Downside-58.66%-56.75%-54.78%

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