DDM Analysis: 300553.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3.05 - $4.49	$3.74
Multi-Stage	$4.30 - $4.72	$4.51
Blended Fair Value	$4.13
Current Price	$38.64
Upside	-89.32%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.31%	-6.24%	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.10	0.12	0.12	0.10	0.10
YoY Growth	-	-	-6.21%	370.45%	-77.69%	0.00%	-100.00%	-20.00%	0.00%	19.05%	0.00%	-44.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.30%	0.43%	0.06%	0.50%	0.00%	0.48%	0.56%	0.54%	0.23%	0.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	37.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)	33.48

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	7.45	4.66	2.79
Cash Retained (M)	33.48	33.48	33.48
(-) Cash Required (M)	-7.45	-4.66	-2.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)	26.03	28.82	30.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	96.85	96.85	96.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.30	0.32
LTM Dividend per Share	0.04	0.04	0.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.30	0.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.31	0.34	0.36
WACC / Discount Rate	9.47%	9.47%	9.47%
Growth Rate	-0.56%	0.44%	1.44%
Fair Value	$3.05	$3.74	$4.49
Upside / Downside	-92.10%	-90.31%	-88.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	37.25	37.42	37.58	37.75	37.92	38.09	39.23
Payout Ratio	10.13%	26.10%	42.08%	58.05%	74.03%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3.77	9.77	15.81	21.91	28.07	34.28	36.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.47%	9.47%	9.47%
Growth Rate	-0.56%	0.44%	1.44%
Year 1 PV (M)	8.83	8.92	9.01
Year 2 PV (M)	12.93	13.20	13.46
Year 3 PV (M)	16.21	16.70	17.21
Year 4 PV (M)	18.78	19.54	20.33
Year 5 PV (M)	20.74	21.80	22.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)	339.04	356.43	374.53
Equity Value (M)	416.52	436.59	457.44
Shares Outstanding (M)	96.85	96.85	96.85
Fair Value	$4.30	$4.51	$4.72
Upside / Downside	-88.87%	-88.33%	-87.78%

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Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co., Ltd. (300553.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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