Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhejiang Yonggui Electric Equipment Co., Ltd. (300351.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$41.78 - $49.22$46.12
Multi-Stage$28.39 - $31.16$29.75
Blended Fair Value$37.94
Current Price$18.60
Upside103.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.53%6.59%0.100.000.000.000.020.030.080.070.050.10
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-26.38%-70.26%22.54%27.94%-45.00%87.50%
Dividend Yield--0.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.21%0.34%0.78%0.43%0.22%0.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)96.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.2712.047.23
Cash Retained (M)61.7461.7461.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.27-12.04-7.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.4749.6954.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)389.32389.32389.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.23
WACC / Discount Rate2.34%2.34%2.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$41.78$46.12$49.22
Upside / Downside124.60%147.98%164.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)96.35102.61109.28116.39123.95132.01135.97
Payout Ratio35.92%46.74%57.55%68.37%79.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.6147.9662.9079.5798.15118.81125.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.34%2.34%2.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)46.4246.8747.31
Year 2 PV (M)58.9360.0661.19
Year 3 PV (M)72.1774.2576.36
Year 4 PV (M)86.1789.4992.90
Year 5 PV (M)100.97105.85110.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,688.8911,205.1711,741.20
Equity Value (M)11,053.5711,581.6712,129.86
Shares Outstanding (M)389.32389.32389.32
Fair Value$28.39$29.75$31.16
Upside / Downside52.64%59.94%67.51%

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