Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Tianjin Ringpu Bio-Technology Co.,Ltd. (300119.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$74.95 - $182.39$170.93
Multi-Stage$26.64 - $29.15$27.87
Blended Fair Value$99.40
Current Price$21.19
Upside369.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.89%18.72%0.470.310.360.350.220.130.130.130.130.09
YoY Growth--55.01%-14.96%2.25%60.00%64.91%0.00%0.00%3.94%50.00%0.32%
Dividend Yield--2.67%1.91%1.66%1.85%0.79%0.97%0.86%1.18%0.83%0.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)418.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)160.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)257.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)83.6652.2931.37
Cash Retained (M)257.59257.59257.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-83.66-52.29-31.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)173.94205.31226.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)456.09456.09456.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.380.450.50
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.380.450.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.800.85
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$74.95$170.93$182.39
Upside / Downside253.69%706.65%760.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)418.29445.48474.44505.28538.12573.10590.29
Payout Ratio38.42%48.73%59.05%69.37%79.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)160.70217.10280.16350.50428.79515.79546.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)201.87203.79205.70
Year 2 PV (M)242.24246.85251.51
Year 3 PV (M)281.80289.89298.13
Year 4 PV (M)320.57332.90345.58
Year 5 PV (M)358.57375.88393.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,744.4711,263.4311,802.25
Equity Value (M)12,149.5212,712.7413,297.04
Shares Outstanding (M)456.09456.09456.09
Fair Value$26.64$27.87$29.15
Upside / Downside25.71%31.54%37.59%

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