Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wuhu Token Sciences Co., Ltd. (300088.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.27 - $28.43$26.64
Multi-Stage$4.03 - $4.41$4.22
Blended Fair Value$15.43
Current Price$6.72
Upside129.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.22%12.66%0.100.110.060.110.110.150.140.060.060.04
YoY Growth---14.06%90.12%-45.21%-2.81%-25.17%9.48%139.84%-6.89%39.69%48.13%
Dividend Yield--1.60%2.08%0.86%1.35%1.53%1.78%2.24%0.77%0.78%0.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)349.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)194.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)154.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.8743.6726.20
Cash Retained (M)154.41154.41154.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.87-43.67-26.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)84.54110.74128.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,443.882,443.882,443.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.130.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10.27$26.64$28.43
Upside / Downside52.78%296.45%323.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)349.34372.05396.23421.99449.42478.63492.99
Payout Ratio55.80%62.64%69.48%76.32%83.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)194.93233.05275.30322.06373.74430.77456.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)216.42218.47220.52
Year 2 PV (M)237.41241.93246.49
Year 3 PV (M)257.91265.31272.85
Year 4 PV (M)277.92288.61299.61
Year 5 PV (M)297.47311.84326.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,568.638,982.499,412.20
Equity Value (M)9,855.7510,308.6510,778.43
Shares Outstanding (M)2,443.882,443.882,443.88
Fair Value$4.03$4.22$4.41
Upside / Downside-39.99%-37.23%-34.37%

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