Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Hyundai Construction Equipment Co., Ltd. (267270.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43,185.08 - $64,304.08$53,243.47
Multi-Stage$79,384.85 - $87,434.64$83,330.58
Blended Fair Value$68,287.03
Current Price$92,900.00
Upside-26.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172015
DPS-4.96%0.00%749.171,925.531,344.502,568.56979.03966.01141.900.000.000.00
YoY Growth---61.09%43.22%-47.66%162.36%1.35%580.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.14%3.27%2.58%6.94%1.82%6.44%0.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)90,235.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,814.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)81,420.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18,047.0811,279.436,767.66
Cash Retained (M)81,420.5281,420.5281,420.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-18,047.08-11,279.43-6,767.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)63,373.4370,141.0974,652.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.0117.0117.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,726.154,124.074,389.34
LTM Dividend per Share518.29518.29518.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,726.154,124.074,389.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,244.444,642.354,907.63
WACC / Discount Rate7.63%7.63%7.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$43,185.08$53,243.47$64,304.08
Upside / Downside-53.51%-42.69%-30.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)90,235.4289,333.0688,439.7387,555.3386,679.7885,812.9888,387.37
Payout Ratio9.77%25.82%41.86%57.91%73.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,814.9023,061.3537,021.9950,701.1264,102.9577,231.6981,758.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.63%7.63%7.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)21,209.7021,426.1321,642.56
Year 2 PV (M)31,315.5131,957.8632,606.73
Year 3 PV (M)39,442.7340,662.5341,907.21
Year 4 PV (M)45,864.5747,765.4449,724.80
Year 5 PV (M)50,821.1753,467.5456,223.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,161,504.011,221,986.211,284,962.15
Equity Value (M)1,350,157.691,417,265.721,487,066.48
Shares Outstanding (M)17.0117.0117.01
Fair Value$79,384.85$83,330.58$87,434.64
Upside / Downside-14.55%-10.30%-5.88%

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