Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Franbo Lines Corp. (2641.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$151.05 - $358.59$336.05
Multi-Stage$52.30 - $57.26$54.73
Blended Fair Value$195.39
Current Price$21.05
Upside828.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%22.85%0.431.040.440.000.040.000.000.000.040.07
YoY Growth---58.52%137.72%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-37.43%25.79%
Dividend Yield--2.08%5.30%2.26%0.00%0.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.44%0.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)622.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)156.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)466.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)124.5177.8246.69
Cash Retained (M)466.28466.28466.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-124.51-77.82-46.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)341.77388.46419.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)345.27345.27345.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.991.131.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.991.131.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.441.581.67
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$151.05$336.05$358.59
Upside / Downside617.58%1,496.44%1,603.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)622.55663.01706.11752.00800.88852.94878.53
Payout Ratio25.10%38.08%51.06%64.04%77.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)156.27252.48360.55481.59616.84767.65812.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)234.83237.06239.28
Year 2 PV (M)311.89317.83323.83
Year 3 PV (M)387.48398.60409.93
Year 4 PV (M)461.60479.35497.61
Year 5 PV (M)534.29560.09586.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,125.6316,904.5017,713.19
Equity Value (M)18,055.7218,897.4419,770.73
Shares Outstanding (M)345.27345.27345.27
Fair Value$52.30$54.73$57.26
Upside / Downside148.43%160.01%172.03%

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