Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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AUO Corporation (2409.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$51.78 - $146.21$137.02
Multi-Stage$20.51 - $22.44$21.46
Blended Fair Value$79.24
Current Price$13.65
Upside480.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.48%16.94%0.910.811.260.380.000.631.900.710.440.63
YoY Growth--12.50%-35.94%235.88%0.00%-100.00%-66.67%167.86%60.00%-30.00%233.33%
Dividend Yield--6.76%4.44%6.86%1.51%0.00%8.00%13.46%4.16%3.00%5.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,580.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,300.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,280.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,116.14697.58418.55
Cash Retained (M)3,280.313,280.313,280.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,116.14-697.58-418.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,164.182,582.732,861.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,589.407,589.407,589.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.340.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.340.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.590.640.68
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.48%6.48%7.48%
Fair Value$51.78$137.02$146.21
Upside / Downside279.35%903.79%971.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,580.685,942.156,327.036,736.847,173.207,637.827,866.95
Payout Ratio41.22%50.98%60.73%70.49%80.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,300.363,029.083,842.544,748.675,756.066,874.047,276.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.48%6.48%7.48%
Year 1 PV (M)2,812.862,839.522,866.19
Year 2 PV (M)3,313.553,376.673,440.40
Year 3 PV (M)3,802.633,911.824,023.07
Year 4 PV (M)4,280.314,444.964,614.31
Year 5 PV (M)4,746.784,976.105,214.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)136,717.36143,322.31150,180.11
Equity Value (M)155,673.48162,871.38170,338.28
Shares Outstanding (M)7,589.407,589.407,589.40
Fair Value$20.51$21.46$22.44
Upside / Downside50.27%57.22%64.43%

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