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Definitive Analysis

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Wonik Ips Co., Ltd (240810.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,980.86 - $11,310.16$9,623.93
Multi-Stage$11,643.77 - $12,804.06$12,212.63
Blended Fair Value$10,918.28
Current Price$26,450.00
Upside-58.72%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.00197.01297.73198.490.00186.65169.680.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-33.83%50.00%0.00%-100.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.47%0.85%0.52%0.00%0.75%0.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59,126.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,432.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)56,694.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,825.397,390.874,434.52
Cash Retained (M)56,694.1656,694.1656,694.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,825.39-7,390.87-4,434.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)44,868.7749,303.2952,259.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)48.6348.6348.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share922.611,013.791,074.58
LTM Dividend per Share50.0250.0250.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share922.611,013.791,074.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend972.631,063.821,124.61
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7,980.86$9,623.93$11,310.16
Upside / Downside-69.83%-63.61%-57.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59,126.9458,535.6757,950.3157,370.8156,797.1056,229.1357,916.00
Payout Ratio4.11%21.29%38.47%55.65%72.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,432.7812,463.1822,292.7331,924.4441,361.2950,606.2153,572.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11,221.5011,336.0011,450.51
Year 2 PV (M)18,072.0418,442.7418,817.21
Year 3 PV (M)23,301.7924,022.4224,757.75
Year 4 PV (M)27,182.0528,308.6229,469.84
Year 5 PV (M)29,944.2831,503.5533,127.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)456,544.10480,317.41505,070.92
Equity Value (M)566,265.77593,930.75622,693.33
Shares Outstanding (M)48.6348.6348.63
Fair Value$11,643.77$12,212.63$12,804.06
Upside / Downside-55.98%-53.83%-51.59%

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