Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Villars Holding S.A. (0QLJ.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$201.04 - $273.18$237.80
Multi-Stage$395.69 - $437.01$415.93
Blended Fair Value$326.86
Current Price$625.00
Upside-47.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.97%-4.60%5.110.000.000.000.008.1838.858.188.188.19
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-78.95%375.00%0.00%-0.10%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.98%4.98%0.99%1.54%1.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.840.520.31
Cash Retained (M)3.683.683.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.84-0.52-0.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.843.153.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.100.100.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share27.7830.8732.92
LTM Dividend per Share5.115.115.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share27.7830.8732.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend32.9035.9838.04
WACC / Discount Rate8.68%8.68%8.68%
Growth Rate-6.60%-5.60%-4.60%
Fair Value$201.04$237.80$273.18
Upside / Downside-67.83%-61.95%-56.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.203.963.743.533.333.153.24
Payout Ratio12.43%27.95%43.46%58.97%74.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.521.111.632.082.482.833.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.68%8.68%8.68%
Growth Rate-6.60%-5.60%-4.60%
Year 1 PV (M)1.011.021.03
Year 2 PV (M)1.351.381.41
Year 3 PV (M)1.571.621.67
Year 4 PV (M)1.711.781.86
Year 5 PV (M)1.771.871.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)33.0034.8136.69
Equity Value (M)40.4142.4744.63
Shares Outstanding (M)0.100.100.10
Fair Value$395.69$415.93$437.01
Upside / Downside-36.69%-33.45%-30.08%

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