Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fabasoft AG (0IWU.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.79 - $161.43$51.03
Multi-Stage$35.07 - $38.55$36.78
Blended Fair Value$43.91
Current Price$15.65
Upside180.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-27.28%-6.35%0.100.300.760.860.660.490.180.160.140.21
YoY Growth---66.97%-60.00%-11.76%30.77%33.37%177.77%9.78%17.28%-33.38%7.14%
Dividend Yield--0.64%1.65%4.01%4.53%1.61%1.77%0.93%1.35%1.23%4.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.841.150.69
Cash Retained (M)8.128.128.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.84-1.15-0.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.286.977.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.8510.8510.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.580.640.68
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.580.640.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.680.740.79
WACC / Discount Rate5.19%5.19%5.19%
Growth Rate2.68%3.68%4.68%
Fair Value$27.79$51.03$161.43
Upside / Downside77.59%226.09%931.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.219.559.9010.2610.6411.0311.36
Payout Ratio11.84%27.47%43.10%58.74%74.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.092.624.276.037.919.9310.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.19%5.19%5.19%
Growth Rate2.68%3.68%4.68%
Year 1 PV (M)2.472.492.52
Year 2 PV (M)3.783.863.93
Year 3 PV (M)5.035.185.33
Year 4 PV (M)6.226.466.72
Year 5 PV (M)7.347.718.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)355.51373.17391.51
Equity Value (M)380.36398.87418.10
Shares Outstanding (M)10.8510.8510.85
Fair Value$35.07$36.78$38.55
Upside / Downside124.10%135.00%146.33%

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