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Definitive Analysis

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Hyundai Glovis Co., Ltd. (086280.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,540,604.70 - $3,684,786.14$3,453,184.25
Multi-Stage$534,291.05 - $585,142.35$559,248.26
Blended Fair Value$2,006,216.25
Current Price$165,400.00
Upside1,112.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.81%15.43%3,150.022,850.021,900.011,750.011,750.011,650.011,500.011,500.011,500.011,000.01
YoY Growth--10.53%50.00%8.57%0.00%6.06%10.00%0.00%0.00%50.00%33.33%
Dividend Yield--2.80%3.26%2.40%1.82%1.87%3.64%2.32%1.78%2.04%1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,389,602.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)277,500.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,112,102.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)277,920.42173,700.26104,220.16
Cash Retained (M)1,112,102.101,112,102.101,112,102.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-277,920.42-173,700.26-104,220.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)834,181.68938,401.841,007,881.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)75.0075.0075.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share11,122.5012,512.1113,438.52
LTM Dividend per Share3,700.023,700.023,700.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share11,122.5012,512.1113,438.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend14,822.5216,212.1317,138.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,540,604.70$3,453,184.25$3,684,786.14
Upside / Downside831.44%1,987.78%2,127.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,389,602.101,479,926.241,576,121.451,678,569.341,787,676.351,903,875.311,960,991.57
Payout Ratio19.97%33.98%47.98%61.99%75.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)277,500.00502,816.72756,252.181,040,509.851,358,525.851,713,487.781,813,917.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)467,629.21472,061.71476,494.22
Year 2 PV (M)654,109.52666,568.47679,144.96
Year 3 PV (M)836,993.23861,020.29885,502.84
Year 4 PV (M)1,016,331.931,055,417.191,095,619.08
Year 5 PV (M)1,192,176.591,249,759.161,309,545.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,904,320.9037,638,513.0239,439,076.76
Equity Value (M)40,071,561.3741,943,339.8543,885,383.41
Shares Outstanding (M)75.0075.0075.00
Fair Value$534,291.05$559,248.26$585,142.35
Upside / Downside223.03%238.12%253.77%

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