Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology Limited (0596.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.45 - $22.53$15.81
Multi-Stage$9.80 - $10.73$10.26
Blended Fair Value$13.03
Current Price$7.54
Upside72.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.75%2.26%0.030.020.000.000.000.040.020.020.020.02
YoY Growth--49.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%59.39%5.68%0.00%0.00%-0.20%
Dividend Yield--0.80%0.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.25%0.74%1.11%1.39%1.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)781.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)725.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)156.3197.6958.62
Cash Retained (M)725.70725.70725.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-156.31-97.69-58.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)569.39628.01667.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,143.381,143.381,143.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.500.550.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.500.550.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.550.600.63
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate4.34%5.34%6.34%
Fair Value$11.45$15.81$22.53
Upside / Downside51.81%109.71%198.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)781.56823.28867.23913.53962.301,013.681,044.09
Payout Ratio7.15%23.72%40.29%56.86%73.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.86195.26349.39519.42706.61912.31965.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate4.34%5.34%6.34%
Year 1 PV (M)176.91178.61180.31
Year 2 PV (M)286.82292.34297.92
Year 3 PV (M)386.33397.54408.97
Year 4 PV (M)476.17494.69513.74
Year 5 PV (M)557.02584.23612.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,325.549,781.0710,254.24
Equity Value (M)11,208.7911,728.4912,267.67
Shares Outstanding (M)1,143.381,143.381,143.38
Fair Value$9.80$10.26$10.73
Upside / Downside30.02%36.04%42.30%

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