Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hannong Chemicals Inc. (011500.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,837.29 - $6,081.31$4,860.79
Multi-Stage$6,878.30 - $7,568.53$7,216.70
Blended Fair Value$6,038.74
Current Price$13,870.00
Upside-56.46%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%4.14%120.18120.18230.35180.28150.23120.18140.22110.17100.1590.14
YoY Growth--0.00%-47.83%27.78%20.00%25.00%-14.29%27.27%10.00%11.11%12.50%
Dividend Yield--0.83%0.57%1.11%1.12%0.94%3.03%3.46%2.30%1.79%2.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,770.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)917.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,852.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,154.01721.25432.75
Cash Retained (M)4,852.394,852.394,852.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,154.01-721.25-432.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,698.384,131.134,419.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.2715.2715.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share242.19270.53289.42
LTM Dividend per Share60.0960.0960.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share242.19270.53289.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend302.28330.62349.51
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-0.71%0.29%1.29%
Fair Value$3,837.29$4,860.79$6,081.31
Upside / Downside-72.33%-64.95%-56.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,770.035,786.555,803.125,819.745,836.415,853.126,028.72
Payout Ratio15.90%30.72%45.54%60.36%75.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)917.641,777.792,642.873,512.884,387.855,267.815,576.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-0.71%0.29%1.29%
Year 1 PV (M)1,643.271,659.821,676.37
Year 2 PV (M)2,258.032,303.742,349.92
Year 3 PV (M)2,774.242,858.922,945.30
Year 4 PV (M)3,203.033,334.033,469.02
Year 5 PV (M)3,554.403,737.043,927.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)91,602.6096,309.51101,207.96
Equity Value (M)105,035.57110,203.06115,575.66
Shares Outstanding (M)15.2715.2715.27
Fair Value$6,878.30$7,216.70$7,568.53
Upside / Downside-50.41%-47.97%-45.43%

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