DDM Analysis: 002284.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$17.35 - $102.05	$31.98
Multi-Stage	$14.01 - $15.36	$14.67
Blended Fair Value	$23.33
Current Price	$13.04
Upside	78.89%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	33.39%	5.38%	0.11	0.11	0.15	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.13	0.13	0.12	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	-5.68%	-24.02%	257.18%	54.16%	7.03%	-81.02%	1.85%	7.86%	69.23%	13.29%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.09%	1.45%	1.85%	0.55%	0.53%	0.54%	2.30%	1.68%	0.87%	0.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	384.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	47.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)	337.24

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	76.86	48.04	28.82
Cash Retained (M)	337.24	337.24	337.24
(-) Cash Required (M)	-76.86	-48.04	-28.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)	260.37	289.20	308.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	738.49	738.49	738.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.35	0.39	0.42
LTM Dividend per Share	0.06	0.06	0.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.35	0.39	0.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.42	0.46	0.48
WACC / Discount Rate	6.50%	6.50%	6.50%
Growth Rate	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%
Fair Value	$17.35	$31.98	$102.05
Upside / Downside	33.08%	145.26%	682.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	384.31	403.52	423.70	444.89	467.14	490.50	505.22
Payout Ratio	12.25%	27.80%	43.35%	58.90%	74.45%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	47.07	112.17	183.67	262.04	347.78	441.45	467.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.50%	6.50%	6.50%
Growth Rate	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	104.33	105.33	106.33
Year 2 PV (M)	158.88	161.95	165.05
Year 3 PV (M)	210.81	216.95	223.21
Year 4 PV (M)	260.23	270.38	280.83
Year 5 PV (M)	307.21	322.27	337.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,303.20	9,759.15	10,232.80
Equity Value (M)	10,344.66	10,836.03	11,346.13
Shares Outstanding (M)	738.49	738.49	738.49
Fair Value	$14.01	$14.67	$15.36
Upside / Downside	7.42%	12.52%	17.82%

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Zhejiang Asia-Pacific Mechanical & Electronic Co.,Ltd (002284.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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