Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen Laibao Hi-Tech Co., Ltd. (002106.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$71.18 - $83.87$78.59
Multi-Stage$58.33 - $64.02$61.12
Blended Fair Value$69.86
Current Price$12.11
Upside476.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.83%9.60%0.250.200.100.150.100.100.100.100.000.02
YoY Growth--25.00%100.00%-33.33%50.00%-1.16%1.17%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-80.15%
Dividend Yield--2.27%2.05%1.13%1.68%0.94%1.16%1.07%1.22%0.00%0.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)297.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)227.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.5337.2022.32
Cash Retained (M)227.05227.05227.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.53-37.20-22.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)167.52189.85204.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)705.79705.79705.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate-1.50%-1.50%-1.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$71.18$78.59$83.87
Upside / Downside487.80%549.01%592.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)297.63316.98337.58359.53382.89407.78420.02
Payout Ratio23.71%36.97%50.23%63.49%76.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70.58117.19169.56228.25293.84367.00388.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.50%-1.50%-1.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)117.86118.97120.09
Year 2 PV (M)171.49174.76178.06
Year 3 PV (M)232.16238.82245.61
Year 4 PV (M)300.58312.14324.03
Year 5 PV (M)377.55395.78414.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)39,967.3741,897.8143,902.13
Equity Value (M)41,167.0043,138.2845,184.63
Shares Outstanding (M)705.79705.79705.79
Fair Value$58.33$61.12$64.02
Upside / Downside381.65%404.71%428.65%

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