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Definitive Analysis

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Dong-A Socio Holdings Co., Ltd. (000640.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,367,076.90 - $3,326,438.71$3,117,360.23
Multi-Stage$476,520.34 - $522,051.91$498,866.02
Blended Fair Value$1,808,113.12
Current Price$115,800.00
Upside1,461.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.11%8.34%1,845.161,942.271,456.691,426.45953.67953.67953.66940.001,085.39831.52
YoY Growth---5.00%33.33%2.12%49.57%0.00%0.00%1.45%-13.40%30.53%0.35%
Dividend Yield--1.86%1.68%1.77%1.29%0.91%1.20%0.93%0.72%0.85%0.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)107,658.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,755.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)96,902.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21,531.7413,457.348,074.40
Cash Retained (M)96,902.9796,902.9796,902.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-21,531.74-13,457.34-8,074.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)75,371.2383,445.6388,828.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.446.446.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share11,709.9712,964.4413,800.76
LTM Dividend per Share1,671.051,671.051,671.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share11,709.9712,964.4413,800.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend13,381.0214,635.4915,471.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,367,076.90$3,117,360.23$3,326,438.71
Upside / Downside1,080.55%2,592.02%2,772.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)107,658.69114,656.51122,109.18130,046.28138,499.29147,501.74151,926.79
Payout Ratio9.99%25.99%41.99%58.00%74.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,755.7229,802.0551,278.9575,421.94102,486.86132,751.57140,532.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)27,711.9027,974.5728,237.24
Year 2 PV (M)44,338.3445,182.8746,035.35
Year 3 PV (M)60,639.8662,380.6164,154.36
Year 4 PV (M)76,621.1879,567.8282,598.63
Year 5 PV (M)92,286.9996,744.48101,372.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,765,524.882,899,100.773,037,788.92
Equity Value (M)3,067,123.163,210,951.123,360,187.09
Shares Outstanding (M)6.446.446.44
Fair Value$476,520.34$498,866.02$522,051.91
Upside / Downside311.50%330.80%350.82%

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