DDM Analysis: CLPI.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,947.68 - $2,965.54	$2,424.86
Multi-Stage	$2,678.82 - $2,926.89	$2,800.55
Blended Fair Value	$2,612.71
Current Price	$1,280.00
Upside	104.12%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	18.41%	18.61%	128.28	61.40	71.23	89.42	56.57	55.11	63.89	102.90	39.41	63.03
YoY Growth	-	-	108.92%	-13.79%	-20.34%	58.07%	2.65%	-13.75%	-37.90%	161.12%	-37.48%	170.66%
Dividend Yield	-	-	12.22%	6.11%	7.54%	8.60%	6.94%	11.43%	9.33%	11.06%	3.57%	7.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	65,613.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	42,648.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)	22,965.01

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	13,122.65	8,201.66	4,921.00
Cash Retained (M)	22,965.01	22,965.01	22,965.01
(-) Cash Required (M)	-13,122.65	-8,201.66	-4,921.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)	9,842.35	14,763.35	18,044.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	306.26	306.26	306.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share	32.14	48.20	58.92
LTM Dividend per Share	139.25	139.25	139.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	32.14	48.20	58.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend	171.39	187.46	198.17
WACC / Discount Rate	9.64%	9.64%	9.64%
Growth Rate	0.77%	1.77%	2.77%
Fair Value	$1,947.68	$2,424.86	$2,965.54
Upside / Downside	52.16%	89.44%	131.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	65,613.27	66,777.41	67,962.20	69,168.02	70,395.23	71,644.21	73,793.53
Payout Ratio	65.00%	70.00%	75.00%	80.00%	85.00%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	42,648.26	46,743.89	50,971.43	55,334.26	59,835.86	64,479.79	68,259.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.64%	9.64%	9.64%
Growth Rate	0.77%	1.77%	2.77%
Year 1 PV (M)	42,214.28	42,633.18	43,052.08
Year 2 PV (M)	41,571.51	42,400.65	43,237.97
Year 3 PV (M)	40,756.57	41,981.95	43,231.65
Year 4 PV (M)	39,801.51	41,405.01	43,056.48
Year 5 PV (M)	38,734.34	40,694.69	42,733.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)	617,348.18	648,592.40	681,089.03
Equity Value (M)	820,426.39	857,707.88	896,400.84
Shares Outstanding (M)	306.26	306.26	306.26
Fair Value	$2,678.82	$2,800.55	$2,926.89
Upside / Downside	109.28%	118.79%	128.66%

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PT Colorpak Indonesia Tbk (CLPI.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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