Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

GATX Corporation SR NT 2066 (GMTA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Sector:

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$103.96 - $176.28$135.47
Multi-Stage$403.05 - $445.09$423.65
Blended Fair Value$279.56
Current Price$25.03
Upside1,016.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024
DPS0.00%0.00%2.362.252.142.071.980.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--5.21%5.22%3.10%4.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)312.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)66.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)246.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.5639.1023.46
Cash Retained (M)246.20246.20246.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.56-39.10-23.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)183.64207.10222.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.8835.8835.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.125.776.21
LTM Dividend per Share1.861.861.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.125.776.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.987.638.07
WACC / Discount Rate4.58%4.58%4.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$103.96$135.47$176.28
Upside / Downside315.36%441.25%604.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)312.80309.67306.58303.51300.47297.47306.39
Payout Ratio21.29%35.03%48.77%62.52%76.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)66.60108.49149.53189.74229.14267.72283.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.58%4.58%4.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)102.69103.74104.79
Year 2 PV (M)133.99136.73139.51
Year 3 PV (M)160.94165.91170.99
Year 4 PV (M)183.97191.59199.45
Year 5 PV (M)203.47214.06225.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,674.1914,386.2415,127.65
Equity Value (M)14,459.2515,198.2915,967.49
Shares Outstanding (M)35.8835.8835.88
Fair Value$403.05$423.65$445.09
Upside / Downside1,510.25%1,592.55%1,678.21%

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