Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

BlackRock Greater Europe Investment Trust plc (BRGE.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.40 - $4.81$4.09
Multi-Stage$5.10 - $5.60$5.34
Blended Fair Value$4.72
Current Price$5.68
Upside-16.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.72%2.72%0.070.070.070.060.050.050.050.050.050.05
YoY Growth--0.60%1.91%5.49%20.36%6.34%-0.18%-2.64%-5.77%3.93%-0.75%
Dividend Yield--1.22%1.14%1.28%1.40%0.77%1.12%1.30%1.41%1.66%1.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)51.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.286.433.86
Cash Retained (M)39.4739.4739.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.28-6.43-3.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.1933.0435.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)99.0099.0099.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.330.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.330.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.420.450.48
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.40$4.09$4.81
Upside / Downside-40.20%-27.91%-15.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)51.4150.9050.3949.8949.3948.8950.36
Payout Ratio23.23%36.59%49.94%63.29%76.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.9518.6225.1731.5837.8544.0046.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)16.7616.9317.10
Year 2 PV (M)20.3820.8021.23
Year 3 PV (M)23.0223.7324.46
Year 4 PV (M)24.8425.8726.93
Year 5 PV (M)25.9927.3428.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)393.75414.25435.60
Equity Value (M)504.74528.93554.07
Shares Outstanding (M)99.0099.0099.00
Fair Value$5.10$5.34$5.60
Upside / Downside-10.24%-5.94%-1.47%

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