Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Equity Development Investment Tbk (GSMF.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.08 - $25.57$21.78
Multi-Stage$29.04 - $31.91$30.45
Blended Fair Value$26.11
Current Price$97.00
Upside-73.08%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.85%3.45%0.290.240.260.420.280.260.250.250.270.33
YoY Growth--21.21%-8.33%-38.21%49.40%6.85%5.80%0.00%-8.88%-18.29%62.59%
Dividend Yield--0.54%0.48%0.46%0.42%0.23%0.23%0.22%0.19%0.24%0.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)39,826.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,251.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)30,575.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,965.204,978.252,986.95
Cash Retained (M)30,575.0030,575.0030,575.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,965.20-4,978.25-2,986.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)22,609.8025,596.7527,588.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14,230.4014,230.4014,230.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.591.801.94
LTM Dividend per Share0.650.650.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.591.801.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.242.452.59
WACC / Discount Rate9.46%9.46%9.46%
Growth Rate-2.60%-1.60%-0.60%
Fair Value$18.08$21.78$25.57
Upside / Downside-81.36%-77.55%-73.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)39,826.0039,187.4538,559.1337,940.8937,332.5736,733.9937,836.01
Payout Ratio23.23%36.58%49.94%63.29%76.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,251.0014,335.8819,255.3224,013.3328,613.8133,060.5934,998.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.46%9.46%9.46%
Growth Rate-2.60%-1.60%-0.60%
Year 1 PV (M)12,963.9013,097.0113,230.11
Year 2 PV (M)15,746.1316,071.1316,399.45
Year 3 PV (M)17,757.7018,310.3118,874.26
Year 4 PV (M)19,134.6919,932.7220,755.46
Year 5 PV (M)19,992.5321,040.1722,131.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)327,661.67344,831.64362,713.97
Equity Value (M)413,256.62433,282.97454,104.52
Shares Outstanding (M)14,230.4014,230.4014,230.40
Fair Value$29.04$30.45$31.91
Upside / Downside-70.06%-68.61%-67.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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