Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

STIF S.a. (ALSTI.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$77.54 - $168.61$111.08
Multi-Stage$341.59 - $377.56$359.21
Blended Fair Value$235.15
Current Price$65.00
Upside261.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.200.170.160.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%14.32%7.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.532.201.32
Cash Retained (M)16.6716.6716.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.53-2.20-1.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.1414.4615.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.084.084.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.223.553.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.223.553.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.463.784.00
WACC / Discount Rate2.37%2.37%2.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$77.54$111.08$168.61
Upside / Downside19.29%70.89%159.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17.6317.4617.2817.1116.9416.7717.27
Payout Ratio5.48%22.38%39.29%56.19%73.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.973.916.799.6112.3815.0915.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.37%2.37%2.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3.783.823.86
Year 2 PV (M)6.356.486.61
Year 3 PV (M)8.698.969.23
Year 4 PV (M)10.8211.2711.73
Year 5 PV (M)12.7613.4214.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,350.501,420.831,494.05
Equity Value (M)1,392.901,464.781,539.60
Shares Outstanding (M)4.084.084.08
Fair Value$341.59$359.21$377.56
Upside / Downside425.52%452.64%480.87%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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