Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Full Access

See Pricing Start Trial

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46.84 - $124.24$71.62
Multi-Stage$32.04 - $35.00$33.49
Blended Fair Value$52.55
Current Price$40.00
Upside31.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.81%0.00%0.470.390.390.392.210.270.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--20.11%0.85%0.24%-82.38%716.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.18%0.99%2.44%4.26%15.52%1.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.295.813.48
Cash Retained (M)35.4435.4435.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.29-5.81-3.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)26.1529.6331.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.2623.2623.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.121.271.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.121.271.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.601.751.85
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$46.84$71.62$124.24
Upside / Downside17.09%79.04%210.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46.4449.4652.6856.1059.7563.6365.54
Payout Ratio23.70%36.96%50.22%63.48%76.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.0118.2826.4635.6145.8557.2760.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)16.6016.7616.92
Year 2 PV (M)21.8122.2322.65
Year 3 PV (M)26.6627.4328.21
Year 4 PV (M)31.1732.3733.60
Year 5 PV (M)35.3537.0538.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)613.62643.26674.03
Equity Value (M)745.21779.09814.23
Shares Outstanding (M)23.2623.2623.26
Fair Value$32.04$33.49$35.00
Upside / Downside-19.91%-16.27%-12.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 14 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
FGG.AXFuture Generation Global Limited7.59%$0.1235.11%
WINNER.BKWinner Group Enterprise Public Company Limited7.59%$0.1677.25%
1666.HKTong Ren Tang Technologies Co. Ltd.7.58%$0.3439.83%
ALHOP.PAHopscotch Global PR Group7.58%$1.0034.20%
4305.TWOShih-Kuen Plastics Co., Ltd.7.57%$3.1886.35%
KLEE-B.COBrd. Klee A/S7.57%$284.4657.64%
TACC.BKT.A.C. Consumer Public Company Limited7.56%$0.3986.66%
PCC.BKPrecise Corporation Public Company Limited7.55%$0.2054.85%
2180.HKManpowerGroup Greater China Limited7.54%$0.3930.76%
BASGZ.ISBaskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S.7.54%$3.4364.56%
ISAE4.SAISA Energía Brasil S.A.7.54%$2.0345.68%
TRPL4.SACTEEP - Companhia de Transmissão de Energia Elétrica Paulista S.A.7.53%$1.8837.46%
QH-R.BKQuality Houses Public Company Limited7.52%$0.1063.63%
0189.HKDongyue Group Limited7.51%$0.8267.14%
3034.KLHap Seng Consolidated Berhad7.50%$0.2189.85%
9985.HKWEILONG Delicious Global Holdings Ltd7.50%$0.8387.47%
CBQK.QAThe Commercial Bank (P.S.Q.C.)7.50%$0.3248.96%
BMGB4.SABanco BMG S.A.7.49%$0.3767.48%
DJW.AXDjerriwarrh Investments Limited7.49%$0.2378.76%
JSMR.JKPT Jasa Marga (Persero) Tbk7.49%$256.8147.02%
TGMA3.SATegma Gestão Logística S.A.7.49%$2.7365.23%
014440.KSYoungbo Chemical Co., Ltd.7.48%$350.9938.29%
CPW.BKCopperwired Public Company Limited7.48%$0.1585.48%
003080.KSSBSUNGBO Co., Ltd.7.47%$205.009.79%
226320.KSIt'S Hanbul Co., Ltd.7.47%$887.8495.70%
AYGAZ.ISAygaz A.S.7.47%$14.7993.51%
3290.TOne REIT, Inc.7.46%$6,781.0766.29%
TOTL.JKPT Total Bangun Persada Tbk7.46%$75.0067.24%
1497.HKXiamen Yan Palace Bird's Nest Indus7.45%$0.4461.94%
ANIM.MIAnima Holding S.p.A.7.45%$0.4555.56%
DCC-R.BKDynasty Ceramic Public Company Limited7.45%$0.0981.26%
0751.HKSkyworth Group Limited7.44%$0.3953.99%
8957.TTokyu REIT, Inc.7.44%$15,400.2079.77%
2504.TWGoldsun Building Materials Co., Ltd.7.43%$2.8186.16%
KEPL3.SAKepler Weber S.A.7.43%$0.7389.80%
POLY.BKPolynet Public Company Limited7.43%$0.5288.16%
XTB.WAXTB S.A.7.43%$5.4679.70%
TIPH.BKDhipaya Group Holdings Public Company Limited7.42%$1.5476.50%
ALFRE.PAFreelance.com S.A.7.40%$0.1623.60%
RING.OLSpareBank 1 Ringerike Hadeland7.40%$30.8074.39%
SEAOIL.BKSea Oil Public Company Limited7.39%$0.2246.45%
IRC.BKInoue Rubber (Thailand) Public Company Limited7.36%$0.8790.55%
ILM-R.BKIndex Living Mall Public Company Limited7.34%$1.0067.79%
SHIPSeanergy Maritime Holdings Corp.7.34%$0.6791.71%
5009.TWOGloria Material Technology Corp.7.33%$2.3477.68%
9922.HKJiumaojiu International Holdings Limited7.33%$0.1455.41%
8977.THankyu Hanshin REIT, Inc.7.32%$12,179.9195.79%
BAREIT.BKBA Airport Leasehold Real Estate Investment Trust7.32%$0.7589.39%
SIDO.JKPT Industri Jamu dan Farmasi Sido Muncul Tbk7.32%$39.5596.37%
0QQK.LMeier Tobler Group AG7.31%$2.8980.26%