DDM Analysis: VG

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$8.92 - $14.08	$11.28
Multi-Stage	$22.11 - $24.38	$23.22
Blended Fair Value	$17.25
Current Price	$14.19
Upside	21.59%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-15.24%	2,633.33%	-14.29%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.52%	0.26%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,333.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	562.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,771.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	466.60	291.63	174.98
Cash Retained (M)	1,771.00	1,771.00	1,771.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-466.60	-291.63	-174.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,304.40	1,479.38	1,596.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,584.64	2,584.64	2,584.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.50	0.57	0.62
LTM Dividend per Share	0.22	0.22	0.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.50	0.57	0.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.72	0.79	0.83
WACC / Discount Rate	5.93%	5.93%	5.93%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$8.92	$11.28	$14.08
Upside / Downside	-37.10%	-20.48%	-0.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,333.00	2,309.67	2,286.57	2,263.71	2,241.07	2,218.66	2,285.22
Payout Ratio	24.09%	37.27%	50.45%	63.64%	76.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	562.00	860.84	1,153.66	1,440.53	1,721.54	1,996.79	2,113.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.93%	5.93%	5.93%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	804.45	812.66	820.87
Year 2 PV (M)	1,007.46	1,028.12	1,049.00
Year 3 PV (M)	1,175.56	1,211.92	1,249.01
Year 4 PV (M)	1,312.86	1,367.27	1,423.35
Year 5 PV (M)	1,423.01	1,497.11	1,574.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)	51,426.45	54,104.34	56,892.65
Equity Value (M)	57,149.78	60,021.42	63,009.15
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,584.64	2,584.64	2,584.64
Fair Value	$22.11	$23.22	$24.38
Upside / Downside	55.82%	63.65%	71.80%

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Venture Global, Inc. (VG)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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