Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Daheng New Epoch Technology Inc. (600288.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.31 - $0.41$0.36
Multi-Stage$0.59 - $0.65$0.62
Blended Fair Value$0.49
Current Price$13.87
Upside-96.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.45%-14.54%0.020.030.060.010.010.040.020.020.020.02
YoY Growth---26.35%-48.14%532.01%25.01%-80.92%74.64%14.28%10.53%0.00%-83.65%
Dividend Yield--0.26%0.33%0.47%0.07%0.07%0.38%0.22%0.24%0.15%0.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)43.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.635.393.24
Cash Retained (M)39.5239.5239.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.63-5.39-3.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.9034.1336.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)436.33436.33436.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.080.090.09
WACC / Discount Rate9.67%9.67%9.67%
Growth Rate-12.45%-11.45%-10.45%
Fair Value$0.31$0.36$0.41
Upside / Downside-97.74%-97.39%-97.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)43.1438.2033.8229.9526.5223.4924.19
Payout Ratio8.37%24.70%41.02%57.35%73.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.619.4313.8817.1819.5421.1422.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.67%9.67%9.67%
Growth Rate-12.45%-11.45%-10.45%
Year 1 PV (M)8.518.608.70
Year 2 PV (M)11.2811.5411.80
Year 3 PV (M)12.5813.0213.47
Year 4 PV (M)12.9113.5114.13
Year 5 PV (M)12.5913.3214.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)199.63211.30223.50
Equity Value (M)257.49271.29285.68
Shares Outstanding (M)436.33436.33436.33
Fair Value$0.59$0.62$0.65
Upside / Downside-95.75%-95.52%-95.28%

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