DDM Analysis: STANLY.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$192.85 - $288.36	$238.20
Multi-Stage	$261.43 - $285.79	$273.38
Blended Fair Value	$255.79
Current Price	$182.00
Upside	40.54%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	19.40%	12.81%	19.99	19.99	8.50	5.50	8.25	8.24	7.00	5.00	5.00	4.80
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	135.29%	54.55%	-33.33%	0.08%	17.76%	40.00%	0.07%	4.10%	-19.88%
Dividend Yield	-	-	10.05%	9.09%	3.93%	3.06%	4.43%	4.86%	3.00%	1.99%	2.22%	2.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,739.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	919.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)	819.67

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	347.83	217.40	130.44
Cash Retained (M)	819.67	819.67	819.67
(-) Cash Required (M)	-347.83	-217.40	-130.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)	471.83	602.27	689.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	76.64	76.64	76.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share	6.16	7.86	8.99
LTM Dividend per Share	12.00	12.00	12.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	6.16	7.86	8.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend	18.15	19.85	20.99
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	0.54%	1.54%	2.54%
Fair Value	$192.85	$238.20	$288.36
Upside / Downside	5.96%	30.88%	58.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,739.17	1,765.89	1,793.02	1,820.57	1,848.54	1,876.94	1,933.25
Payout Ratio	52.87%	60.30%	67.72%	75.15%	82.57%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	919.50	1,064.76	1,214.27	1,368.12	1,526.41	1,689.25	1,788.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	0.54%	1.54%	2.54%
Year 1 PV (M)	958.43	967.96	977.50
Year 2 PV (M)	983.86	1,003.53	1,023.39
Year 3 PV (M)	997.82	1,027.89	1,058.56
Year 4 PV (M)	1,002.09	1,042.56	1,084.24
Year 5 PV (M)	998.25	1,048.89	1,101.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)	15,096.50	15,862.39	16,659.04
Equity Value (M)	20,036.95	20,953.22	21,904.30
Shares Outstanding (M)	76.64	76.64	76.64
Fair Value	$261.43	$273.38	$285.79
Upside / Downside	43.64%	50.21%	57.03%

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Thai Stanley Electric Public Company Limited (STANLY.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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