DDM Analysis: SCCC-R.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$210.27 - $346.17	$270.66
Multi-Stage	$299.92 - $327.95	$313.68
Blended Fair Value	$292.17
Current Price	$149.00
Upside	96.08%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.37%	0.24%	11.86	9.41	9.00	9.63	4.88	8.71	9.18	13.16	11.58	11.58
YoY Growth	-	-	26.05%	4.55%	-6.57%	97.54%	-44.02%	-5.16%	-30.22%	13.69%	0.01%	-0.01%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.46%	6.75%	6.45%	6.28%	2.94%	7.32%	4.12%	5.04%	4.05%	3.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5,452.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4,299.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,152.70

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,090.48	681.55	408.93
Cash Retained (M)	1,152.70	1,152.70	1,152.70
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,090.48	-681.55	-408.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)	62.22	471.15	743.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	298.00	298.00	298.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.21	1.58	2.50
LTM Dividend per Share	14.43	14.43	14.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.21	1.58	2.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend	14.64	16.01	16.92
WACC / Discount Rate	8.28%	8.28%	8.28%
Growth Rate	1.23%	2.23%	3.23%
Fair Value	$210.27	$270.66	$346.17
Upside / Downside	41.12%	81.65%	132.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5,452.39	5,574.03	5,698.39	5,825.53	5,955.50	6,088.37	6,271.02
Payout Ratio	78.86%	81.09%	83.32%	85.54%	87.77%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4,299.69	4,519.82	4,747.63	4,983.36	5,227.25	5,479.53	5,800.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.28%	8.28%	8.28%
Growth Rate	1.23%	2.23%	3.23%
Year 1 PV (M)	4,133.44	4,174.27	4,215.10
Year 2 PV (M)	3,970.62	4,049.45	4,129.06
Year 3 PV (M)	3,811.48	3,925.55	4,041.88
Year 4 PV (M)	3,656.24	3,802.86	3,953.86
Year 5 PV (M)	3,505.06	3,681.63	3,865.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)	70,300.03	73,841.56	77,524.42
Equity Value (M)	89,376.86	93,475.33	97,729.57
Shares Outstanding (M)	298.00	298.00	298.00
Fair Value	$299.92	$313.68	$327.95
Upside / Downside	101.29%	110.52%	120.10%

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Financial Statements

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Ticker

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Sector

Siam City Cement Public Company Limited (SCCC-R.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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