DDM Analysis: BBVA.DE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$53.92 - $293.96	$97.92
Multi-Stage	$58.39 - $64.08	$61.18
Blended Fair Value	$79.55
Current Price	$4.38
Upside	1,716.26%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	12.75%	16.83%	0.65	0.47	0.36	0.15	0.18	0.36	0.35	0.28	0.27	0.15
YoY Growth	-	-	39.35%	28.51%	135.96%	-13.05%	-50.40%	1.90%	24.09%	6.19%	81.91%	6.42%
Dividend Yield	-	-	14.82%	10.64%	8.28%	3.51%	4.03%	11.95%	6.53%	4.33%	3.59%	2.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	10,054.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,913.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6,141.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2,010.80	1,256.75	754.05
Cash Retained (M)	6,141.00	6,141.00	6,141.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2,010.80	-1,256.75	-754.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4,130.20	4,884.25	5,386.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6,027.19	6,027.19	6,027.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.69	0.81	0.89
LTM Dividend per Share	0.65	0.65	0.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.69	0.81	0.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.33	1.46	1.54
WACC / Discount Rate	5.65%	5.65%	5.65%
Growth Rate	3.10%	4.10%	5.10%
Fair Value	$53.92	$97.92	$293.96
Upside / Downside	1,131.05%	2,135.69%	6,611.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	10,054.00	10,466.25	10,895.41	11,342.17	11,807.24	12,291.39	12,660.13
Payout Ratio	38.92%	49.14%	59.35%	69.57%	79.78%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,913.00	5,142.68	6,466.63	7,890.51	9,420.29	11,062.25	11,710.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.65%	5.65%	5.65%
Growth Rate	3.10%	4.10%	5.10%
Year 1 PV (M)	4,820.81	4,867.57	4,914.32
Year 2 PV (M)	5,682.48	5,793.25	5,905.09
Year 3 PV (M)	6,499.73	6,690.69	6,885.37
Year 4 PV (M)	7,274.18	7,560.53	7,855.25
Year 5 PV (M)	8,007.43	8,403.37	8,814.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)	319,628.34	335,432.79	351,856.33
Equity Value (M)	351,912.96	368,748.20	386,231.18
Shares Outstanding (M)	6,027.19	6,027.19	6,027.19
Fair Value	$58.39	$61.18	$64.08
Upside / Downside	1,233.05%	1,296.82%	1,363.05%

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Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA.DE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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