DDM Analysis: BAYU.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,225.62 - $3,237.91	$2,715.73
Multi-Stage	$3,271.88 - $3,577.68	$3,421.91
Blended Fair Value	$3,068.82
Current Price	$1,320.00
Upside	132.49%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	75.00	50.00	25.00	25.00	50.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	50.00%	100.00%	0.00%	-50.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.41%	3.85%	2.65%	2.28%	4.63%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	104,442.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	61,813.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)	42,628.87

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	20,888.50	13,055.31	7,833.19
Cash Retained (M)	42,628.87	42,628.87	42,628.87
(-) Cash Required (M)	-20,888.50	-13,055.31	-7,833.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)	21,740.37	29,573.55	34,795.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	353.22	353.22	353.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share	61.55	83.73	98.51
LTM Dividend per Share	175.00	175.00	175.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	61.55	83.73	98.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend	236.55	258.73	273.51
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	-0.57%	0.43%	1.43%
Fair Value	$2,225.62	$2,715.73	$3,237.91
Upside / Downside	68.61%	105.74%	145.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	104,442.50	104,893.62	105,346.69	105,801.72	106,258.71	106,717.67	109,919.20
Payout Ratio	59.18%	65.35%	71.51%	77.67%	83.84%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	61,813.64	68,545.35	75,334.07	82,180.16	89,083.98	96,045.90	101,675.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	-0.57%	0.43%	1.43%
Year 1 PV (M)	61,693.50	62,313.96	62,934.42
Year 2 PV (M)	61,025.90	62,259.56	63,505.57
Year 3 PV (M)	59,917.14	61,743.17	63,605.92
Year 4 PV (M)	58,458.15	60,845.55	63,305.34
Year 5 PV (M)	56,726.46	59,636.95	62,665.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	857,875.23	901,890.52	947,694.21
Equity Value (M)	1,155,696.39	1,208,689.72	1,263,711.15
Shares Outstanding (M)	353.22	353.22	353.22
Fair Value	$3,271.88	$3,421.91	$3,577.68
Upside / Downside	147.87%	159.24%	171.04%

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600191.SS	Baotou Huazi Industry Co., Ltd	0.06%	$0.01	9.61%
600288.SS	Daheng New Epoch Technology Inc.	0.06%	$0.01	8.37%
600486.SS	Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical Co., Ltd.	0.06%	$0.04	1.25%
600490.SS	Pengxin International Mining Co.,Ltd	0.06%	$0.00	4.03%
600615.SS	Chongqing Fenghwa Group Co., Ltd.	0.06%	$0.01	15.34%
600654.SS	China Security Co., Ltd.	0.06%	$0.00	3.19%
603068.SS	Beken Corporation	0.06%	$0.02	19.57%
603328.SS	Guangdong Ellington Electronics Technology Co.,Ltd	0.06%	$0.01	1.50%
605080.SS	Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc.	0.06%	$0.01	0.98%
688017.SS	Leader Harmonious Drive Systems Co., Ltd.	0.06%	$0.12	25.12%
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688696.SS	Chengdu Xgimi Technology Co.,Ltd.	0.06%	$0.07	1.87%
AAIF.L	abrdn Asian Income Fund Limited	0.06%	$0.16	36.85%
AKSGY.IS	Akis Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S.	0.06%	$0.00	0.27%
ALTF.TA	Altshuler Shaham Finance Ltd	0.06%	$0.42	73.06%
BAKK.L	Bakkavor Group plc	0.06%	$0.15	87.07%
BLV.L	Belvoir Group PLC	0.06%	$0.17	44.51%
BNZL.L	Bunzl plc	0.06%	$1.26	47.00%
BRIG.L	BlackRock Income and Growth Investment Trust plc	0.06%	$0.14	68.68%
BWY.L	Bellway p.l.c.	0.06%	$1.69	70.03%
CAPD.L	Capital Limited	0.06%	$0.07	24.60%
CASP.L	Caspian Sunrise plc	0.06%	$0.00	25.15%
CSSG.L	Croma Security Solutions Group plc	0.06%	$0.04	46.50%
DNET.JK	PT Indoritel Makmur Internasional Tbk.	0.06%	$5.00	6.08%
DWHA.L	Dewhurst Group Plc	0.06%	$0.36	25.82%
ELSPC.TA	Elspec Engineering Ltd	0.06%	$0.25	80.53%
EPWN.L	Epwin Group Plc	0.06%	$0.07	37.55%
ETGA.TA	ETGA Group Ltd	0.06%	$1.55	89.99%
FIBIH.TA	F.I.B.I. Holdings Ltd	0.06%	$16.92	41.38%
HSL.L	The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc	0.06%	$0.50	70.94%
HSX.L	Hiscox Ltd	0.06%	$0.77	20.38%
HVO.L	hVIVO plc	0.06%	$0.00	12.02%
IBT.L	International Biotechnology Trust plc	0.06%	$0.61	57.78%
IDIN.TA	I.D.I. Insurance Company Ltd.	0.06%	$14.75	68.21%
IGG.L	IG Group Holdings plc	0.06%	$0.81	31.08%
IHP.L	IntegraFin Holdings plc	0.06%	$0.21	67.29%
ITRK.L	Intertek Group plc	0.06%	$2.66	64.13%
IVPU.L	Invesco Perpetual Select Trust plc - UK Equity Share Portfolio	0.06%	$0.12	35.31%
JMI.L	JPMorgan UK Smaller Companies Investment Trust Plc	0.06%	$0.16	23.47%
JUGI.L	JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth & Income Plc	0.06%	$0.20	53.22%
LAAC	Lithium Americas (Argentina) Corp.	0.06%	$0.00	0.02%
LWDB.L	The Law Debenture Corporation p.l.c.	0.06%	$0.66	28.04%
MGRO.JK	PT Mahkota Group Tbk	0.06%	$0.43	7.88%
MTVW.L	Mountview Estates PLC	0.06%	$5.25	42.08%
NAWI.TA	Nawi Brothers Group Ltd	0.06%	$3.28	46.36%
NTN.L	Northern 3 VCT PLC	0.06%	$0.05	76.12%
PSON.L	Pearson plc	0.06%	$0.63	53.29%
RCDO.L	Ricardo plc	0.06%	$0.24	49.35%
RMKE.JK	PT RMK Energy Tbk	0.06%	$3.50	6.74%
SALM.OL	SalMar ASA	0.06%	$0.36	4.26%

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PT Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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