Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT AKR Corporindo Tbk (AKRA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,997.75 - $8,479.41$4,673.23
Multi-Stage$2,148.15 - $2,340.09$2,242.40
Blended Fair Value$3,457.82
Current Price$1,210.00
Upside185.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.26%22.77%99.88124.8541.9526.9719.9936.5744.7030.3618.1725.92
YoY Growth---20.00%197.62%55.56%34.90%-45.33%-18.18%47.20%67.08%-29.88%101.86%
Dividend Yield--9.12%7.30%2.71%2.96%3.10%9.26%4.70%2.68%1.45%1.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,405,838.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,977,629.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)428,208.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)481,167.63300,729.77180,437.86
Cash Retained (M)428,208.68428,208.68428,208.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-481,167.63-300,729.77-180,437.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)-52,958.95127,478.91247,770.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19,760.9819,760.9819,760.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share-2.686.4512.54
LTM Dividend per Share100.08100.08100.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share-2.686.4512.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend97.40106.53112.62
WACC / Discount Rate8.93%8.93%8.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,997.75$4,673.23$8,479.41
Upside / Downside147.75%286.22%600.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,405,838.142,562,217.612,728,761.762,906,131.273,095,029.813,296,206.743,395,092.95
Payout Ratio82.20%83.76%85.32%86.88%88.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,977,629.462,146,139.472,328,200.302,524,861.592,737,252.212,966,586.073,140,460.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.93%8.93%8.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,951,741.911,970,241.831,988,741.76
Year 2 PV (M)1,925,525.311,962,201.161,999,223.01
Year 3 PV (M)1,899,026.011,953,540.222,009,087.85
Year 4 PV (M)1,872,287.761,944,290.662,018,350.64
Year 5 PV (M)1,845,351.841,934,483.022,027,025.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)32,955,513.2734,547,276.8836,199,961.03
Equity Value (M)42,449,446.0944,312,033.7846,242,389.75
Shares Outstanding (M)19,760.9819,760.9819,760.98
Fair Value$2,148.15$2,242.40$2,340.09
Upside / Downside77.53%85.32%93.40%

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