DDM Analysis: 1272.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.25 - $3.25	$2.74
Multi-Stage	$4.36 - $4.79	$4.57
Blended Fair Value	$3.65
Current Price	$1.08
Upside	238.10%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.93%	0.00%	0.09	0.04	0.03	0.15	0.01	0.10	0.02	0.11	0.03	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	108.34%	72.06%	-82.86%	2,380.86%	-93.74%	293.87%	-77.45%	270.94%	488.24%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	10.66%	5.74%	3.03%	16.73%	0.89%	7.97%	1.40%	4.64%	1.01%	0.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,076.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	454.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)	621.20

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	215.23	134.52	80.71
Cash Retained (M)	621.20	621.20	621.20
(-) Cash Required (M)	-215.23	-134.52	-80.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)	405.97	486.68	540.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,414.96	3,414.96	3,414.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.12	0.14	0.16
LTM Dividend per Share	0.13	0.13	0.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.12	0.14	0.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.25	0.28	0.29
WACC / Discount Rate	7.96%	7.96%	7.96%
Growth Rate	-2.93%	-1.93%	-0.93%
Fair Value	$2.25	$2.74	$3.25
Upside / Downside	108.14%	153.26%	200.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,076.16	1,055.43	1,035.11	1,015.17	995.62	976.44	1,005.73
Payout Ratio	42.28%	51.82%	61.37%	70.91%	80.46%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	454.96	546.94	635.20	719.86	801.03	878.80	930.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.96%	7.96%	7.96%
Growth Rate	-2.93%	-1.93%	-0.93%
Year 1 PV (M)	501.44	506.61	511.77
Year 2 PV (M)	533.92	544.98	556.15
Year 3 PV (M)	554.75	572.07	589.75
Year 4 PV (M)	565.95	589.63	614.05
Year 5 PV (M)	569.25	599.18	630.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)	12,147.53	12,786.24	13,451.54
Equity Value (M)	14,872.85	15,598.71	16,353.62
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,414.96	3,414.96	3,414.96
Fair Value	$4.36	$4.57	$4.79
Upside / Downside	303.26%	322.94%	343.41%

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600654.SS	China Security Co., Ltd.	0.06%	$0.00	3.19%
603068.SS	Beken Corporation	0.06%	$0.02	19.57%
603328.SS	Guangdong Ellington Electronics Technology Co.,Ltd	0.06%	$0.01	1.50%
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Datang Environment Industry Group Co., Ltd. (1272.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener