DDM Analysis: 1099.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$368.59 - $986.39	$924.39
Multi-Stage	$142.21 - $155.49	$148.72
Blended Fair Value	$536.56
Current Price	$16.77
Upside	3,099.50%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.14%	15.06%	0.87	0.82	0.75	0.69	0.60	0.56	0.51	0.44	0.36	0.28
YoY Growth	-	-	6.10%	9.33%	8.70%	15.45%	6.38%	11.18%	13.99%	21.94%	32.26%	28.46%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.36%	4.49%	4.29%	5.00%	3.77%	2.21%	1.75%	1.56%	1.27%	1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	15,456.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9,757.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,699.54

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,091.34	1,932.09	1,159.25
Cash Retained (M)	5,699.54	5,699.54	5,699.54
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,091.34	-1,932.09	-1,159.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,608.20	3,767.45	4,540.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,116.38	3,116.38	3,116.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	1.21	1.46
LTM Dividend per Share	3.13	3.13	3.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	1.21	1.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.97	4.34	4.59
WACC / Discount Rate	6.64%	6.64%	6.64%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$368.59	$924.39	$986.39
Upside / Downside	2,097.91%	5,412.16%	5,781.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	15,456.72	16,461.40	17,531.40	18,670.94	19,884.55	21,177.04	21,812.35
Payout Ratio	63.13%	68.50%	73.88%	79.25%	84.63%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9,757.18	11,276.17	12,951.40	14,796.78	16,827.33	19,059.34	20,176.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.64%	6.64%	6.64%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	10,475.19	10,574.48	10,673.77
Year 2 PV (M)	11,176.79	11,389.68	11,604.57
Year 3 PV (M)	11,862.27	12,202.79	12,549.77
Year 4 PV (M)	12,531.87	13,013.81	13,509.52
Year 5 PV (M)	13,185.87	13,822.75	14,484.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)	383,933.69	402,477.84	421,731.70
Equity Value (M)	443,165.69	463,481.35	484,553.35
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,116.38	3,116.38	3,116.38
Fair Value	$142.21	$148.72	$155.49
Upside / Downside	747.97%	786.85%	827.17%

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Ticker ⇵	Company ⇵	Dividend Yield % ▼	Dividend Per Share ⇵	Payout Ratio % ⇵
600191.SS	Baotou Huazi Industry Co., Ltd	0.06%	$0.01	9.61%
600288.SS	Daheng New Epoch Technology Inc.	0.06%	$0.01	8.37%
600486.SS	Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical Co., Ltd.	0.06%	$0.04	1.25%
600490.SS	Pengxin International Mining Co.,Ltd	0.06%	$0.00	4.03%
600615.SS	Chongqing Fenghwa Group Co., Ltd.	0.06%	$0.01	15.34%
600654.SS	China Security Co., Ltd.	0.06%	$0.00	3.19%
603068.SS	Beken Corporation	0.06%	$0.02	19.57%
603328.SS	Guangdong Ellington Electronics Technology Co.,Ltd	0.06%	$0.01	1.50%
605080.SS	Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc.	0.06%	$0.01	0.98%
688017.SS	Leader Harmonious Drive Systems Co., Ltd.	0.06%	$0.12	25.12%
688585.SS	Swancor Advanced Materials Co., Ltd.	0.06%	$0.07	34.27%
688696.SS	Chengdu Xgimi Technology Co.,Ltd.	0.06%	$0.07	1.87%
AAIF.L	abrdn Asian Income Fund Limited	0.06%	$0.16	36.85%
AKSGY.IS	Akis Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S.	0.06%	$0.00	0.27%
ALTF.TA	Altshuler Shaham Finance Ltd	0.06%	$0.42	73.06%
BAKK.L	Bakkavor Group plc	0.06%	$0.15	87.07%
BLV.L	Belvoir Group PLC	0.06%	$0.17	44.51%
BNZL.L	Bunzl plc	0.06%	$1.26	47.00%
BRIG.L	BlackRock Income and Growth Investment Trust plc	0.06%	$0.14	68.68%
BWY.L	Bellway p.l.c.	0.06%	$1.69	70.03%
CAPD.L	Capital Limited	0.06%	$0.07	24.60%
CASP.L	Caspian Sunrise plc	0.06%	$0.00	25.15%
CSSG.L	Croma Security Solutions Group plc	0.06%	$0.04	46.50%
DNET.JK	PT Indoritel Makmur Internasional Tbk.	0.06%	$5.00	6.08%
DWHA.L	Dewhurst Group Plc	0.06%	$0.36	25.82%
ELSPC.TA	Elspec Engineering Ltd	0.06%	$0.25	80.53%
EPWN.L	Epwin Group Plc	0.06%	$0.07	37.55%
ETGA.TA	ETGA Group Ltd	0.06%	$1.55	89.99%
FIBIH.TA	F.I.B.I. Holdings Ltd	0.06%	$16.92	41.38%
HSL.L	The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc	0.06%	$0.50	70.94%
HSX.L	Hiscox Ltd	0.06%	$0.77	20.38%
HVO.L	hVIVO plc	0.06%	$0.00	12.02%
IBT.L	International Biotechnology Trust plc	0.06%	$0.61	57.78%
IDIN.TA	I.D.I. Insurance Company Ltd.	0.06%	$14.75	68.21%
IGG.L	IG Group Holdings plc	0.06%	$0.81	31.08%
IHP.L	IntegraFin Holdings plc	0.06%	$0.21	67.29%
ITRK.L	Intertek Group plc	0.06%	$2.66	64.13%
IVPU.L	Invesco Perpetual Select Trust plc - UK Equity Share Portfolio	0.06%	$0.12	35.31%
JMI.L	JPMorgan UK Smaller Companies Investment Trust Plc	0.06%	$0.16	23.47%
JUGI.L	JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth & Income Plc	0.06%	$0.20	53.22%
LAAC	Lithium Americas (Argentina) Corp.	0.06%	$0.00	0.02%
LWDB.L	The Law Debenture Corporation p.l.c.	0.06%	$0.66	28.04%
MGRO.JK	PT Mahkota Group Tbk	0.06%	$0.43	7.88%
MTVW.L	Mountview Estates PLC	0.06%	$5.25	42.08%
NAWI.TA	Nawi Brothers Group Ltd	0.06%	$3.28	46.36%
NTN.L	Northern 3 VCT PLC	0.06%	$0.05	76.12%
PSON.L	Pearson plc	0.06%	$0.63	53.29%
RCDO.L	Ricardo plc	0.06%	$0.24	49.35%
RMKE.JK	PT RMK Energy Tbk	0.06%	$3.50	6.74%
SALM.OL	SalMar ASA	0.06%	$0.36	4.26%

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Sinopharm Group Co. Ltd. (1099.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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