DDM Analysis: 0517.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$18.59 - $39.42	$26.39
Multi-Stage	$14.87 - $16.17	$15.51
Blended Fair Value	$20.95
Current Price	$5.52
Upside	279.57%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	21.33%	20.69%	0.44	0.34	0.21	0.27	0.17	0.17	0.18	0.17	0.14	0.18
YoY Growth	-	-	29.26%	62.76%	-21.57%	59.38%	0.00%	-5.88%	3.03%	26.92%	-23.53%	164.81%
Dividend Yield	-	-	10.33%	10.91%	8.30%	11.20%	7.06%	8.16%	6.61%	5.62%	3.83%	4.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,454.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,290.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)	164.14

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	290.84	181.77	109.06
Cash Retained (M)	164.14	164.14	164.14
(-) Cash Required (M)	-290.84	-181.77	-109.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-126.70	-17.64	55.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,465.97	1,465.97	1,465.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.09	-0.01	0.04
LTM Dividend per Share	0.88	0.88	0.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.09	-0.01	0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.79	0.87	0.92
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$18.59	$26.39	$39.42
Upside / Downside	236.87%	378.14%	614.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,454.19	1,548.71	1,649.38	1,756.59	1,870.77	1,992.37	2,052.14
Payout Ratio	88.71%	88.97%	89.23%	89.49%	89.74%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,290.05	1,377.89	1,471.70	1,571.89	1,678.87	1,793.13	1,898.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,240.84	1,252.60	1,264.37
Year 2 PV (M)	1,193.50	1,216.23	1,239.18
Year 3 PV (M)	1,147.95	1,180.90	1,214.48
Year 4 PV (M)	1,104.13	1,146.59	1,190.27
Year 5 PV (M)	1,061.98	1,113.27	1,166.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)	16,054.84	16,830.30	17,635.43
Equity Value (M)	21,803.25	22,739.90	23,710.26
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,465.97	1,465.97	1,465.97
Fair Value	$14.87	$15.51	$16.17
Upside / Downside	169.44%	181.01%	193.00%

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603068.SS	Beken Corporation	0.06%	$0.02	19.57%
603328.SS	Guangdong Ellington Electronics Technology Co.,Ltd	0.06%	$0.01	1.50%
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COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. (0517.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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