DDM Analysis: 0081.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$25.30 - $101.16	$68.07
Multi-Stage	$14.38 - $15.73	$15.04
Blended Fair Value	$41.55
Current Price	$1.62
Upside	2,465.11%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-2.56%	9.65%	0.13	0.18	0.17	0.28	0.23	0.15	0.05	0.02	0.00	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	-29.99%	10.08%	-41.18%	23.00%	57.51%	201.75%	203.37%	0.00%	-100.00%	-89.53%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.76%	8.10%	5.59%	8.80%	6.60%	3.05%	2.15%	0.45%	0.00%	0.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,820.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,108.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)	712.41

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	364.10	227.56	136.54
Cash Retained (M)	712.41	712.41	712.41
(-) Cash Required (M)	-364.10	-227.56	-136.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)	348.31	484.84	575.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,559.38	3,559.38	3,559.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.14	0.16
LTM Dividend per Share	0.31	0.31	0.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.14	0.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.41	0.45	0.47
WACC / Discount Rate	6.61%	6.61%	6.61%
Growth Rate	4.91%	5.91%	6.91%
Fair Value	$25.30	$68.07	$101.16
Upside / Downside	1,462.03%	4,101.59%	6,144.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,820.52	1,928.09	2,042.01	2,162.67	2,290.46	2,425.80	2,498.57
Payout Ratio	60.87%	66.69%	72.52%	78.35%	84.17%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,108.11	1,285.92	1,480.88	1,694.39	1,927.96	2,183.22	2,311.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.61%	6.61%	6.61%
Growth Rate	4.91%	5.91%	6.91%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,194.86	1,206.25	1,217.64
Year 2 PV (M)	1,278.57	1,303.06	1,327.78
Year 3 PV (M)	1,359.31	1,398.55	1,438.54
Year 4 PV (M)	1,437.16	1,492.75	1,549.93
Year 5 PV (M)	1,512.19	1,585.65	1,661.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)	44,403.80	46,560.83	48,800.89
Equity Value (M)	51,185.88	53,547.09	55,996.72
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,559.38	3,559.38	3,559.38
Fair Value	$14.38	$15.04	$15.73
Upside / Downside	787.69%	828.64%	871.12%

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600288.SS	Daheng New Epoch Technology Inc.	0.06%	$0.01	8.37%
600486.SS	Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical Co., Ltd.	0.06%	$0.04	1.25%
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600615.SS	Chongqing Fenghwa Group Co., Ltd.	0.06%	$0.01	15.34%
600654.SS	China Security Co., Ltd.	0.06%	$0.00	3.19%
603068.SS	Beken Corporation	0.06%	$0.02	19.57%
603328.SS	Guangdong Ellington Electronics Technology Co.,Ltd	0.06%	$0.01	1.50%
605080.SS	Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc.	0.06%	$0.01	0.98%
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688696.SS	Chengdu Xgimi Technology Co.,Ltd.	0.06%	$0.07	1.87%
AAIF.L	abrdn Asian Income Fund Limited	0.06%	$0.16	36.85%
AKSGY.IS	Akis Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S.	0.06%	$0.00	0.27%
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BLV.L	Belvoir Group PLC	0.06%	$0.17	44.51%
BNZL.L	Bunzl plc	0.06%	$1.26	47.00%
BRIG.L	BlackRock Income and Growth Investment Trust plc	0.06%	$0.14	68.68%
BWY.L	Bellway p.l.c.	0.06%	$1.69	70.03%
CAPD.L	Capital Limited	0.06%	$0.07	24.60%
CASP.L	Caspian Sunrise plc	0.06%	$0.00	25.15%
CSSG.L	Croma Security Solutions Group plc	0.06%	$0.04	46.50%
DNET.JK	PT Indoritel Makmur Internasional Tbk.	0.06%	$5.00	6.08%
DWHA.L	Dewhurst Group Plc	0.06%	$0.36	25.82%
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EPWN.L	Epwin Group Plc	0.06%	$0.07	37.55%
ETGA.TA	ETGA Group Ltd	0.06%	$1.55	89.99%
FIBIH.TA	F.I.B.I. Holdings Ltd	0.06%	$16.92	41.38%
HSL.L	The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc	0.06%	$0.50	70.94%
HSX.L	Hiscox Ltd	0.06%	$0.77	20.38%
HVO.L	hVIVO plc	0.06%	$0.00	12.02%
IBT.L	International Biotechnology Trust plc	0.06%	$0.61	57.78%
IDIN.TA	I.D.I. Insurance Company Ltd.	0.06%	$14.75	68.21%
IGG.L	IG Group Holdings plc	0.06%	$0.81	31.08%
IHP.L	IntegraFin Holdings plc	0.06%	$0.21	67.29%
ITRK.L	Intertek Group plc	0.06%	$2.66	64.13%
IVPU.L	Invesco Perpetual Select Trust plc - UK Equity Share Portfolio	0.06%	$0.12	35.31%
JMI.L	JPMorgan UK Smaller Companies Investment Trust Plc	0.06%	$0.16	23.47%
JUGI.L	JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth & Income Plc	0.06%	$0.20	53.22%
LAAC	Lithium Americas (Argentina) Corp.	0.06%	$0.00	0.02%
LWDB.L	The Law Debenture Corporation p.l.c.	0.06%	$0.66	28.04%
MGRO.JK	PT Mahkota Group Tbk	0.06%	$0.43	7.88%
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NAWI.TA	Nawi Brothers Group Ltd	0.06%	$3.28	46.36%
NTN.L	Northern 3 VCT PLC	0.06%	$0.05	76.12%
PSON.L	Pearson plc	0.06%	$0.63	53.29%
RCDO.L	Ricardo plc	0.06%	$0.24	49.35%
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Financial Statements

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Sector

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited (0081.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener