Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Power Assets Holdings Limited (0006.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Independent Power ProducersSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$110.64 - $240.39$158.41
Multi-Stage$88.60 - $96.32$92.39
Blended Fair Value$125.40
Current Price$50.45
Upside148.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.11%0.92%2.822.822.822.822.802.808.8115.312.722.69
YoY Growth--0.02%-0.17%0.00%0.72%0.00%-68.18%-42.44%462.14%1.11%4.67%
Dividend Yield--5.20%6.22%6.61%5.81%6.68%4.92%16.17%23.17%4.74%4.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,205.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,020.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)185.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,441.001,525.63915.38
Cash Retained (M)185.00185.00185.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,441.00-1,525.63-915.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2,256.00-1,340.63-730.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,131.112,131.112,131.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1.06-0.63-0.34
LTM Dividend per Share5.645.645.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1.06-0.63-0.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.585.015.30
WACC / Discount Rate9.87%9.87%9.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$110.64$158.41$240.39
Upside / Downside119.30%214.00%376.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,205.0012,998.3313,843.2214,743.0315,701.3216,721.9117,223.56
Payout Ratio98.48%96.79%95.09%93.39%91.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,020.0012,580.7413,163.5913,769.0614,397.6215,049.7215,931.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.87%9.87%9.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)11,343.1611,450.6811,558.19
Year 2 PV (M)10,701.1410,904.9611,110.71
Year 3 PV (M)10,092.2410,381.9510,677.16
Year 4 PV (M)9,514.859,880.7610,257.13
Year 5 PV (M)8,967.429,400.559,850.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)138,201.51144,876.69151,807.35
Equity Value (M)188,820.31196,895.60205,260.80
Shares Outstanding (M)2,131.112,131.112,131.11
Fair Value$88.60$92.39$96.32
Upside / Downside75.62%83.13%90.91%

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